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Access to a large variety of data across a massive population has made it possible to predict customer purchase patterns and responses to marketing campaigns. In particular, accurate demand forecasts for popular products with frequent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-01 Tianle Chen , Brian Keng , Javier Moreno

New methods for time-to-event prediction are proposed by extending the Cox proportional hazards model with neural networks. Building on methodology from nested case-control studies, we propose a loss function that scales well to large data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-16 Håvard Kvamme , Ørnulf Borgan , Ida Scheel

Motivation: Survival analysis is a branch of statistics that is crucial in medicine for modeling the time to critical events such as death or relapse, in order to improve treatment strategies and patient outcomes. Selecting survival models…

Although recent model-free reinforcement learning algorithms have been shown to be capable of mastering complicated decision-making tasks, the sample complexity of these methods has remained a hurdle to utilizing them in many real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Saeed Moazami , Peggy Doerschuk

Survival analysis has been developed and applied in the number of areas including manufacturing, finance, economics and healthcare. In healthcare domain, usually clinical data are high-dimensional, sparse and complex and sometimes there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-13 Milad Zafar Nezhad , Najibesadat Sadati , Kai Yang , Dongxiao Zhu

Predicting the likelihood of survival is of paramount importance for individuals diagnosed with cancer as it provides invaluable information regarding prognosis at an early stage. This knowledge enables the formulation of effective…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Numan Saeed , Muhammad Ridzuan , Fadillah Adamsyah Maani , Hussain Alasmawi , Karthik Nandakumar , Mohammad Yaqub

Obtaining a survival strategy (policy) is one of the fundamental problems of biological agents. In this paper, we generalize the formulation of previous research related to the survival of an agent and we formulate the survival problem as a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Naoto Yoshida

Survival time prediction from medical images is important for treatment planning, where accurate estimations can improve healthcare quality. One issue affecting the training of survival models is censored data. Most of the current survival…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Renato Hermoza , Gabriel Maicas , Jacinto C. Nascimento , Gustavo Carneiro

Probabilistic survival predictions from models trained with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) can have high, and sometimes unacceptably high variance. The field of meteorology, where the paradigm of maximizing sharpness subject to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Anand Avati , Tony Duan , Sharon Zhou , Kenneth Jung , Nigam H. Shah , Andrew Ng

In this paper, we predict conditional survival functions through a combined regression strategy. We take weak learners as different random survival trees. We propose to maximize concordance in the right-censored set up to find the optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Rahul Goswami , Arabin Kumar Dey

We propose a general approach for encouraging fairness in survival analysis models based on minimizing a worst-case error across all subpopulations that occur with at least a user-specified probability. This approach can be used to convert…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-18 Shu Hu , George H. Chen

Machine and deep learning survival models demonstrate similar or even improved time-to-event prediction capabilities compared to classical statistical learning methods yet are too complex to be interpreted by humans. Several model-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Mateusz Krzyziński , Mikołaj Spytek , Hubert Baniecki , Przemysław Biecek

The mean residual life function is a key functional for a survival distribution. It has a practically useful interpretation as the expected remaining lifetime given survival up to a particular time point, and it also characterizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-11 Valerie Poynor , Athanasios Kottas

We propose a novel approach for loss reserving based on deep neural networks. The approach allows for joint modeling of paid losses and claims outstanding, and incorporation of heterogeneous inputs. We validate the models on loss reserving…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-17 Kevin Kuo

Survival analysis is a type of semi-supervised ranking task where the target output (the survival time) is often right-censored. Utilizing this information is a challenge because it is not obvious how to correctly incorporate these censored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Margaux Luck , Tristan Sylvain , Joseph Paul Cohen , Heloise Cardinal , Andrea Lodi , Yoshua Bengio

The classical approach to non-linear regression in physics, is to take a mathematical model describing the functional dependence of the dependent variable from a set of independent variables, and then, using non-linear fitting algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Umberto , Michelucci , Francesca Venturini

Prognostic information at diagnosis has important implications for cancer treatment and monitoring. Although cancer staging, histopathological assessment, molecular features, and clinical variables can provide useful prognostic insights,…

Most existing time-to-event methods focus on either single-event or competing-risks settings, leaving multi-event scenarios relatively underexplored. In many healthcare applications, for example, a patient may experience multiple clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Christian Marius Lillelund , Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Weijie Sun , Shi-ang Qi , Russell Greiner

In epidemiological studies of time-to-event data, a quantity of interest to the clinician and the patient is the risk of an event given a covariate profile. However, methods relying on time matching or risk-set sampling (including Cox…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Sahir Rai Bhatnagar , Maxime Turgeon , Jesse Islam , James A. Hanley , Olli Saarela

We propose a general approach for training survival analysis models that minimizes a worst-case error across all subpopulations that are large enough (occurring with at least a user-specified minimum probability). This approach uses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-22 Shu Hu , George H. Chen
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