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Common sense suggests that when individuals explain why they believe something, we can arrive at more accurate conclusions than when they simply state what they believe. Yet, there is no known mechanism that provides incentives to elicit…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Siddarth Srinivasan , Ezra Karger , Michiel Bakker , Yiling Chen

This paper examines strategic trading under incomplete information, where firms lack full knowledge of key aspects of their competitors' trading strategies such as target sizes and market impact models. We extend previous work on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Neil A. Chriss

Possibility theory offers a framework where both Lehmann's "preferential inference" and the more productive (but less cautious) "rational closure inference" can be represented. However, there are situations where the second inference does…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Salem Benferhat , Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

We give elementary examples within a framework for studying decisions under uncertainty where probabilities are only roughly known. The framework, in gambling terms, is that the size of a bet is proportional to the gambler's perceived…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 David J. Aldous , F. Thomas Bruss

We argue that the extensive-form game (EFG) model isn't powerful enough to express all important aspects of imperfect information games, such as those related to decomposition and online game solving. We present a principled attempt to fix…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-17 Vojtěch Kovařík , Viliam Lisý

The rational choice theory is based on this idea that people rationally pursue goals for increasing their personal interests. In most conditions, the behavior of an actor is not independent of the person and others' behavior. Here, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-27 Madjid Eshaghi Gordji , Gholamreza Askari

Common knowledge is crucial for safe group coordination. In its absence, humans must rely on shared knowledge, which is inherently limited in depth and therefore prone to coordination failures, because any finite-order knowledge attribution…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Thomas Bolander , Robin Engelhardt , Thomas S. Nicolet

In a game where both contestants have perfect information, there is a strict limit on how perfect that information can be. By contrast, when one player is deprived of all information, the limit on the other player's information disappears,…

Logic · Mathematics 2011-06-02 Samuel Alexander

The principle that rational agents should maximize expected utility or choiceworthiness is intuitively plausible in many ordinary cases of decision-making under uncertainty. But it is less plausible in cases of extreme, low-probability risk…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-11 Christian Tarsney

When we work with information from multiple sources, the formalism each employs to handle uncertainty may not be uniform. In order to be able to combine these knowledge bases of different formats, we need to first establish a common basis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Choh Man Teng

This article presents a unified probabilistic framework that allows both rational and irrational decision making to be theoretically investigated and simulated in classical and quantum games. Rational choice theory is a basic component of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-28 Shahram Dehdashti , Lauren Fell , Abdul Karim Obeid , Catarina Moreira , Peter Bruza

Choice functions constitute a simple, direct and very general mathematical framework for modelling choice under uncertainty. In particular, they are able to represent the set-valued choices that typically arise from applying decision rules…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

This work introduces a unified framework for analyzing games in greater depth. In the existing literature, players' strategies are typically assigned scalar values, and equilibrium concepts are used to identify compatible choices. However,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Melih İşeri , Erhan Bayraktar

It is well-known that for infinitely repeated games, there are computable strategies that have best responses, but no computable best responses. These results were originally proved for either specific games (e.g., Prisoner's dilemma), or…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Jakub Dargaj , Jakob Grue Simonsen

Fairness is a desirable and crucial property of many protocols that handle, for instance, exchanges of message. It states that if at least one agent engaging in the protocol is honest, then either the protocol will unfold correctly and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Léonard Brice , Jean-François Raskin , Mathieu Sassolas , Guillaume Scerri , Marie van den Bogaard

Security games are an example of a successful real-world application of game theory. The paper defines blameworthiness of the defender and the attacker in security games using the principle of alternative possibilities and provides a sound…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Pavel Naumov , Jia Tao

Classical game-theoretic models typically assume rational agents, complete information, and common knowledge of payoffs - assumptions that are often violated in real-world MAS characterized by uncertainty, misaligned perceptions, and nested…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Vince Trencsenyi , Agnieszka Mensfelt , Kostas Stathis

Artificial intelligence applications such as industrial robotics, military surveillance, and hazardous environment clean-up, require situation understanding based on partial, uncertain, and ambiguous or erroneous evidence. It is necessary…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Tod S. Levitt

In this paper, we present a conceptual model game to examine the dynamics of asymmetric interactions in games with imperfect information. The game involves two agents with starkly contrasting capabilities: one agent can take actions but has…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Fabian Farestam , Dilian Gurov

Oscillatory behaviors are ubiquitous in nature and the human society. However, most previous works fail to reproduce them in the two-strategy game-theoretical models. Here we show that oscillatory behaviors naturally emerge if incomplete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-27 Jing Zhang , Zhao Li , Jiqiang Zhang , Lin Ma , Guozhong Zheng , Li Chen