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In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

We present a novel and simple method to numerically calculate Fisher Information Matrices for stochastic chemical kinetics models. The linear noise approximation is used to derive model equations and a likelihood function which leads to an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-27 Michal Komorowski , Maria J. Costa , David A. Rand , Michael Stumpf

The goal of this paper is to study the Moderate Deviation Principle (MDP) for a system of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations with a time-scale separation in slow and fast components and small noise in the slow component. Based on weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-03 Ioannis Gasteratos , Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This article addresses reaction networks in which spatial and stochastic effects are of crucial importance. For such systems, particle-based models allow us to describe all microscopic details with high accuracy. However, they suffer from…

The recent advancements in mathematical modeling of biochemical systems have generated increased interest in sensitivity analysis methodologies. There are two primary approaches for analyzing these mathematical models: the stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-14 Kannon Hossain , Roger Sidje , Fahad Mostafa

We consider large-scale Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a risk measure of variability in cost, under the risk-aware MDPs paradigm. Previous studies showed that risk-aware MDPs, based on a minimax approach to handling risk, can be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell , Huan Xu

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

We present new algorithms for computing and approximating bisimulation metrics in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Bisimulation metrics are an elegant formalism that capture behavioral equivalence between states and provide strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Pablo Samuel Castro

This paper presents a mean-field control approach for Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs), specifically designed for controlling a large number of agents. By modeling the interactions of a large number of agents through an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Thomas Le Corre , Adrien Séguret , Ana Bušić

Recently-proposed particle MCMC methods provide a flexible way of performing Bayesian inference for parameters governing stochastic kinetic models defined as Markov (jump) processes (MJPs). Each iteration of the scheme requires an estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-19 Andrew Golightly , Daniel A. Henderson , Chris Sherlock

Efficient analysis and simulation of multiscale stochastic systems of chemical kinetics is an ongoing area for research, and is the source of many theoretical and computational challenges. In this paper, we present a significant improvement…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Simon Cotter

We establish results for the first sensitivity analysis of the stochastic fluid models (SFMs). We derive expressions for the sensitivity analysis of the key stationary and transient (time-dependent) quantities of this class of models. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Anna Aksamit , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly , Zbigniew Palmowski

We study a system of diffusing point particles in which any triplet of particles reacts and is removed from the system when the relative proximity of the constituent particles satisfies a predefined condition. Proximity-based reaction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Taylor Kearney , Ricardo Ruiz-Baier , Mark B. Flegg

This paper introduces a stochastic hybrid system (SHS) framework in state space model to capture sensor, communication, and system contingencies in modern power systems (MPS). Within this new framework, the paper concentrates on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-31 Shuo Yuan , Le Yi Wang , George Yin , Masoud H. Nazari

A practical introduction to stochastic modelling of reaction-diffusion processes is presented. No prior knowledge of stochastic simulations is assumed. The methods are explained using illustrative examples. The article starts with the…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-19 Radek Erban , Jonathan Chapman , Philip Maini

Reaction networks in the bulk and on surfaces are widespread in physical, chemical and biological systems. In macroscopic systems, which include large populations of reactive species, stochastic fluctuations are negligible and the reaction…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-12 Baruch Barzel , Ofer Biham , Raz Kupferman

The stochastic subgradient method is a widely-used algorithm for solving large-scale optimization problems arising in machine learning. Often these problems are neither smooth nor convex. Recently, Davis et al. [1-2] characterized the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Shixiang Chen , Alfredo Garcia , Shahin Shahrampour

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

Approximating model predictive control (MPC) policy using expert-based supervised learning techniques requires labeled training data sets sampled from the MPC policy. This is typically obtained by sampling the feasible state-space and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-16 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy

Accurate and efficient estimation of rare events probabilities is of significant importance, since often the occurrences of such events have widespread impacts. The focus in this work is on precisely quantifying these probabilities, often…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-11 Hamed Nikbakht , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou