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A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

Context: There is considerable diversity in the range and design of computational experiments to assess classifiers for software defect prediction. This is particularly so, regarding the choice of classifier performance metrics.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Jingxiu Yao , Martin Shepperd

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a comprehensive framework to produce statistically rigorous uncertainty sets for black-box machine learning models. To further improve the efficiency of CP, conformal correction is proposed to fine-tune or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Senrong Xu , Tianyu Wang , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

Defect estimation and prediction are some of the main modulating factors for the success of software projects in any software industry. Maturity and competency of a project manager in efficient prediction and estimation of resource…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2012-03-30 T. R. Gopalakrishnan Nair , V. Suma , N. R. Shashi Kumar

In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Accurately predicting faulty software units helps practitioners target faulty units and prioritize their efforts to maintain software quality. Prior studies use machine-learning models to detect faulty software code. We revisit past studies…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Libo Li , Stefan Lessmann , Bart Baesens

Over the last decades, a considerable amount of empirical knowledge about the efficiency of defect-detection techniques has been accumulated. Also a few surveys have summarised those studies with different focuses, usually for a specific…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-12-15 Stefan Wagner

Several software defect prediction techniques have been developed over the past decades. These techniques predict defects at the granularity of typical software assets, such as components and files. In this paper, we investigate…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Mukelabai Mukelabai , Stefan Strüder , Daniel Strüber , Thorsten Berger

This study conducts a benchmarking study, comparing 23 different statistical and machine learning methods in a credit scoring application. In order to do so, the models' performance is evaluated over four different data sets in combination…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-31 Anna Stelzer

Conformal prediction (CP) is a general framework to quantify the predictive uncertainty of machine learning models that uses a set prediction to include the true label with a valid probability. To align the uncertainty measured by CP,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Xuesong Jia , Yuanjie Shi , Ziquan Liu , Yi Xu , Yan Yan

Software defect prediction aims to identify defect-prone code, aiding developers in optimizing testing resource allocation. Most defect prediction approaches primarily focus on coarse-grained, file-level defect prediction, which fails to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Shaojian Qiu , Huihao Huang , Jianxiang Luo , Yingjie Kuang , Haoyu Luo

The problem of model selection is inevitable in an increasingly large number of applications involving partial theoretical knowledge and vast amounts of information, like in medicine, biology or economics. The associated techniques are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-17 Stephane Guerrier , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

As the primary cause of software defects, human error is the key to understanding, and perhaps to predicting and avoiding them. Little research has been done to predict defects on the basis of the cognitive errors that cause them. This…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Fuqun Huang , Lorenzo Strigini

Software defect prediction (SDP) is crucial for delivering high-quality software products. Recent research has indicated that prediction performance improvements in SDP are achievable by applying hyperparameter tuning to a particular SDP…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Mohamed Sami Rakha , Andriy Miranskyy , Daniel Alencar da Costa

Because researchers typically do not have the time or space to present more than a few evaluation metrics in any published study, it can be difficult to assess relative effectiveness of prior methods for unreported metrics when baselining a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-02-02 Mucahid Kutlu , Vivek Khetan , Matthew Lease

Collecting quality data from software projects can be time-consuming and expensive. Hence, some researchers explore "unsupervised" approaches to quality prediction that does not require labelled data. An alternate technique is to use…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Wei Fu , Tim Menzies

Defect prediction models---classifiers that identify defect-prone software modules---have configurable parameters that control their characteristics (e.g., the number of trees in a random forest). Recent studies show that these classifiers…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Chakkrit Tantithamthavorn , Shane McIntosh , Ahmed E. Hassan , Kenichi Matsumoto

The cost of errors related to machine learning classifiers, namely, false positives and false negatives, are not equal and are application dependent. For example, in cybersecurity applications, the cost of not detecting an attack is very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Manish Marwah , Asad Narayanan , Stephan Jou , Martin Arlitt , Maria Pospelova

In current research, there are contrasting results about the applicability of software source code metrics as features for defect prediction models. The goal of the paper is to evaluate the adoption of software metrics in models for…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Dominik Arne Rebro , Bruno Rossi , Stanislav Chren

Just-In-Time defect prediction (JIT-DP) models can identify defect-inducing commits at check-in time. Even though previous studies have achieved a great progress, these studies still have the following limitations: 1) useful information…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Chao Ni , Kaiwen Yang , Xin Xia , David Lo , Xiang Chen , Xiaohu Yang