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High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models offer a versatile framework for multivariate time series analysis, yet face critical challenges from over-parameterization and uncertain lag order. In this paper, we systematically compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Harrison Katz , Robert E. Weiss

The Jacobi prior offers an alternative Bayesian framework, designed to achieve superior computational efficiency without compromising predictive performance. Compared to widely used methods such as Lasso, Ridge, Elastic Net, uniLasso, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Sourish Das , Shouvik Sardar

Macroeconomists using large datasets often face the choice of working with either a large Vector Autoregression (VAR) or a factor model. In this paper, we develop methods for combining the two using a subspace shrinkage prior. Subspace…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-19 Florian Huber , Gary Koop

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for sparse Gaussian graphical modeling of multivariate time series. We account for temporal correlation in the data by assuming that observations are characterized by an underlying and unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Aaron M. Bornstein , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

Regression models for dichotomous data are ubiquitous in statistics. Besides being useful for inference on binary responses, these methods serve also as building blocks in more complex formulations, such as density regression, nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Daniele Durante

Shrinkage prior has gained great successes in many data analysis, however, its applications mostly focus on the Bayesian modeling of sparse parameters. In this work, we will apply Bayesian shrinkage to model high dimensional parameter that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-31 Qifan Song , Guang Cheng

While shrinkage is essential in high-dimensional settings, its use for low-dimensional regression-based prediction has been debated. It reduces variance, often leading to improved prediction accuracy. However, it also inevitably introduces…

We consider the joint inference of regression coefficients and the inverse covariance matrix for covariates in high-dimensional probit regression, where the predictors are both relevant to the binary response and functionally related to one…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-15 Xuan Cao , Kyoungjae Lee

There has been increased research interest in the subfield of sparse Bayesian factor analysis with shrinkage priors, which achieve additional sparsity beyond the natural parsimonity of factor models. In this spirit, we estimate the number…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Darjus Hosszejni , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

We investigate predictive densities for multivariate normal models with unknown mean vectors and known covariance matrices. Bayesian predictive densities based on shrinkage priors often have complex representations, although they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Michiko Okudo , Fumiyasu Komaki

Bayesian simulation-based inference (SBI) methods are used in statistical models where simulation is feasible but the likelihood is intractable. Standard SBI methods can perform poorly in cases of model misspecification, and there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Wang Yuyan , Michael Evans , David J. Nott

We consider sparse Bayesian estimation in the classical multivariate linear regression model with $p$ regressors and $q$ response variables. In univariate Bayesian linear regression with a single response $y$, shrinkage priors which can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with various forms of stochastic volatility have become increasingly popular in empirical macroeconomics. One main difficulty for practitioners is to choose the most suitable stochastic volatility…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-30 Joshua C. C. Chan

We propose a Bayesian methodology for estimating spiked covariance matrices with jointly sparse structure in high dimensions. The spiked covariance matrix is reparametrized in terms of the latent factor model, where the loading matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu , Carey E. Priebe , Joshua Cape

We propose the variable selection procedure incorporating prior constraint information into lasso. The proposed procedure combines the sample and prior information, and selects significant variables for responses in a narrower region where…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-19 Shurong Zheng , Guodong Song , Ning-Zhong Shi

Shrinkage estimators that possess the ability to produce sparse solutions have become increasingly important to the analysis of today's complex datasets. Examples include the LASSO, the Elastic-Net and their adaptive counterparts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-09 Hongmei Liu , J. Sunil Rao

We develop a fully Bayesian framework for function-on-scalars regression with many predictors. The functional data response is modeled nonparametrically using unknown basis functions, which produces a flexible and data-adaptive functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-25 Daniel R. Kowal , Daniel C. Bourgeois

We review common situations in Bayesian latent variable models where the prior distribution that a researcher specifies differs from the prior distribution used during estimation. These situations can arise from the positive definite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Edgar C. Merkle , Oludare Ariyo , Sonja D. Winter , Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and constant coefficient identification in high-dimensional varying coefficient models based on B-spline basis expansion. Both objectives can be considered as some type of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-16 Heng Lian

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan