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In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

Let $\{X_{n}(t), t\in[0,\infty)\}, n\in\mathbb{N}$ be a sequence of centered dependent stationary Gaussian processes. The limit distribution of $\sup_{t\in[0,T(n)]}|X_{n}(t)|$ is established as $r_{n}(t)$, the correlation function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Z. Tan , E. Hashorva , Z. Peng

Let $X(s,t), (s,t)\in E$, with $E\subset \mathbb{R}^2$ a compact set, be a centered two dimensional Gaussian random field with continuous trajectories and variance function $\sigma(s,t)$. Denote by $\mathcal{L}=\{(s,t):…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Peng Liu

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

Consider a random walk $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ with independent and identically distributed real-valued increments with zero mean, finite variance and moment of order $2 + \delta$ for some $\delta>0$. For any starting point $x\in \mathbb R$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Ion Grama , Hui Xiao

Let $\mathbf{B}(t)=(B_1(t), B_2(t))$, $t\geq 0$ be a two-dimensional Brownian motion with independent components and define the $\mathbf{\gamma}$-reflected process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Timofei Shashkov

In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the realized quadratic variation of a process $\int_{0}^{t}u_{s}dG^{H}_{s}$, where $u$ is a $\beta$-H\"older continuous process with $\beta >1-H$ and $G^H$ is a self-similar Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Salwa Bajja , Qian Yu

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. In this paper, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of Parisian ruin on infinite time horizon for the following risk process \begin{align}\label{Rudef}…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Long Bai

We study the probability of ruin before time $t$ for the family of tempered stable L\'evy insurance risk processes, which includes the spectrally positive inverse Gaussian processes. Numerical approximations of the ruin time distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-08 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller , Dale Roberts

Let $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be a stationary mean-zero Gaussian process with covariances $\rho(k)=\PE(X_{1}X_{k+1})$ satisfying: $\rho(0)=1$ and $\rho(k)=k^{-D} L(k)$ where $D$ is in $(0,1)$ and $L$ is slowly varying at infinity. Consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-08 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Hélène Boistard , Eric Moulines , Murad S. Taqqu , Valderio A. Reisen

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

This paper investigates extreme value theory for processes obtained by applying transformations to stationary Gaussian processes, also called subordinated Gaussian processes. The main contributions are as follows. First, we refine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Shuyang Bai , Marie-Christine Duker

This paper studies the supremum of a chi-square process with trend over a threshold-dependent-time horizon. Under the assumption that the chi-square process is generated from a centered self-similar Gaussian process and the trend function…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Peng Liu , Lanpeng Ji

The problem is a power-law asymptotics of the probability that a self-similar process does not exceed a fixed level during long time. The exponent in such asymptotics is estimated for some Gaussian processes, including the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-13 George Molchan

We derive, up to a constant factor, matching lower and upper bounds on the concentration functions of suprema of separable centered Gaussian processes and order statistics of Gaussian random fields. These bounds reveal that suprema of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Alexander Giessing

We consider a classical risk process with arrival of claims following a non-stationary Hawkes process. We study the asymptotic regime when the premium rate and the baseline intensity of the claims arrival process are large, and claim size…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-22 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

Define a gamma-reflected process W_\gamma(t)=Y_H(t)-\gamma\inf_{s\in[0,t]}Y_H(s), t\ge0 with input process {Y_H(t), t\ge 0} which is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H\in (0,1) and a negative linear trend. In risk theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-14 Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

Let $X(t), t\in \mathcal{T}$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^2(\cdot)$ that attains its maximum at the unique point $t_0\in \mathcal{T}$, and let $M(\mathcal{T}):=\sup_{t\in \mathcal{T}} X(t)$. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-31 Krzyztof Dębicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu