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Many modern spatial models express the stochastic variation component as a basis expansion with random coefficients. Low rank models, approximate spectral decompositions, multiresolution representations, stochastic partial differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Mitchell Krock , William Kleiber , Stephen Becker

We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

We discuss applications of a recently developed method for model reduction based on linear response theory of weakly coupled dynamical systems. We apply the weak coupling method to simple stochastic differential equations with slow and fast…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Jeroen Wouters , Stamen I. Dolaptchiev , Valerio Lucarini , Ulrich Achatz

Many real-world optimization problems involve uncertain parameters with probability distributions that can be estimated using contextual feature information. In contrast to the standard approach of first estimating the distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-03 Meng Qi , Paul Grigas , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

The von Neumann equation with delta self-interaction kernel serves as a statistical model for nonlinear waves, and it exhibits a bifurcation between stable and unstable regimes. In oceanography it is known as the Alber equation, and its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Agissilaos Athanassoulis , Fotini Karakatsani , Irene Kyza

A central challenge in physics is to describe non-equilibrium systems driven by randomness, such as a randomly growing interface, or fluids subject to random fluctuations that account e.g. for local stresses and heat fluxes not related to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams , Shouhong Wang

A challenge in multivariate problems with discrete structures is the inclusion of prior information that may differ in each separate structure. A particular example of this is seismic amplitude versus angle (AVA) inversion to elastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-09 Erlend Aune , Daniel Simpson

We present a new stochastic framework for studying ship capsize. It is a synthesis of two strands of transition state theory. The first is an extension of deterministic transition state theory to dissipative non-autonomous systems, together…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Manuela L. Bujorianu , Robert S. MacKay , Tobias Grafke , Shibabrat Naik , Evangelos Boulougouris

Simulations often involve the use of model parameters which are unknown or uncertain. For this reason, simulation experiments are often repeated for multiple combinations of parameter values, often iterating through parameter values lying…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-22 Jessica W. Leigh , David Bryant

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a stochastic parabolic equation with multiplicative noise under the assumption that the equation can be reduced to an infinite system of uncoupled diffusion processes. From the point of view…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-10 Igor Cialenco , Sergey V. Lototsky

Since the prediction of climate is mainly considered as a prediction of second kind, it is indispensable to assess the accuracy with which these boundary conditions can be determined so that we can find a reasonable answer, whether climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Gerhard Kramm , Ralph Dlugi

The spectrum of the generator (Kolmogorov operator) of a diffusion process, referred to as the Ruelle-Pollicott (RP) spectrum, provides a detailed characterization of correlation functions and power spectra of stochastic systems via…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-03-11 Alexis Tantet , Mickaël D. Chekroun , Henk A. Dijkstra , J. David Neelin

Theoretical approaches to binary-state models on complex networks are generally restricted to infinite size systems, where a set of non-linear deterministic equations is assumed to characterize its dynamics and stationary properties. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-04 Antonio F. Peralta , Raul Toral

Multistabilities were found in the ocean-atmosphere flow, in a reduced order ocean-atmosphere coupled model, when the non-linear temperature equations were solved numerically. In this paper we explain how the full non-linear Stefan-Bolzmann…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-13 Oisín Hamilton , Jonathan Demaeyer , Stéphane Vannitsem , Michel Crucifix

The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Andrew Golightly , Emma Bradley , Tom Lowe , Colin S. Gillespie

A general, variational approach to derive low-order reduced systems is presented. The approach is based on the concept of optimal parameterizing manifold (OPM) that substitutes the more classical notions of invariant or slow manifold when…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Muon has recently emerged as a competitive alternative to AdamW for large-scale pre-training, with orthogonalization via Newton-Schulz (NS) iterations as its core operation. Existing Muon variants apply a uniform NS schedule to all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Xinlin Zhuang , Panyi Ouyang , Yichen Li , Jiangming Shi , Yizhang Chen , Shuman Liu , Ying Qian , Weiyang Liu , Haibo Zhang , Imran Razzak

We extend our two-scale neural-network method for scalar singularly perturbed problems with one small parameter to dynamical systems with multiple small parameters. To accommodate multiple small parameters, we use a single effective scale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Qiao Zhuang , Taorui Wang , Rita Wanjiku , Majid Bani-Yaghoub , Zhongqiang Zhang

The quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) has emerged as a promising candidate for demonstrating quantum advantage on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. While various QAOA parameterization schemes exist, ranging…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Evan Camilleri , André Xuereb , Tony J. G. Apollaro , Mirko Consiglio

The investigation of the coupled atmosphere-ocean system is not only scientifically challenging but also practically important. We consider a coupled atmosphere-ocean model, which involves hydrodynamics, thermodynamics, and random…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. Duan , H. Gao , B. Schmalfuss
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