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Adaptive learning is necessary for non-stationary environments where the learning machine needs to forget past data distribution. Efficient algorithms require a compact model update to not grow in computational burden with the incoming data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Vanessa Gómez-Verdejo , Emilio Parrado-Hernández , Manel Martínez-Ramón

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

This paper introduces a new method for performing computational inference on log-Gaussian Cox processes. The likelihood is approximated directly by making novel use of a continuously specified Gaussian random field. We show that for…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-02 Daniel Simpson , Janine Illian , Finn Lindgren , Sigrunn Sørbye , Håvard Rue

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

We propose practical extensions to Bayesian optimization for solving dynamic problems. We model dynamic objective functions using spatiotemporal Gaussian process priors which capture all the instances of the functions over time. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-12 Favour M. Nyikosa , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

We propose an efficient way to sample from a class of structured multivariate Gaussian distributions which routinely arise as conditional posteriors of model parameters that are assigned a conditionally Gaussian prior. The proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-28 Anirban Bhattacharya , Antik Chakraborty , Bani K. Mallick

Spatial processes with nonstationary and anisotropic covariance structure are often used when modelling, analysing and predicting complex environmental phenomena. Such processes may often be expressed as ones that have stationary and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-06 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Tin Lok James Ng , Quan Vu , Maurizio Filippone

The problem of missing values in multivariable time series is a key challenge in many applications such as clinical data mining. Although many imputation methods show their effectiveness in many applications, few of them are designed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Ye Xue , Diego Klabjan , Yuan Luo

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Two algorithms are proposed to simulate space-time Gaussian random fields with a covariance function belonging to an extended Gneiting class, the definition of which depends on a completely monotone function associated with the spatial…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-05 Denis Allard , Xavier Emery , Céline Lacaux , Christian Lantuéjoul

We develop and analyze a numerical method for stochastic time-fractional diffusion driven by additive fractionally integrated Gaussian noise. The model involves two nonlocal terms in time, i.e., a Caputo fractional derivative of order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Bangti Jin , Yubin Yan , Zhi Zhou

This paper presents a solution for persistent monitoring of real-world stochastic phenomena, where the underlying covariance structure changes sharply across time, using a small number of mobile robot sensors. We propose an adaptive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Sahil Garg , Nora Ayanian

In this paper, we propose a progressive Bayesian procedure, where the measurement information is continuously included into the given prior estimate (although we perform observations at discrete time steps). The key idea is to derive a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-04-03 Uwe D. Hanebeck , Jannik Steinbring

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

This paper presents a new approach for Gaussian process (GP) regression for large datasets. The approach involves partitioning the regression input domain into multiple local regions with a different local GP model fitted in each region.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Chiwoo Park , Daniel Apley

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu
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