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We propose a probabilistic model to aggregate the answers of respondents answering multiple-choice questions. The model does not assume that everyone has access to the same information, and so does not assume that the consensus answer is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-16 John McCoy , Drazen Prelec

The bidirectional selection between two classes widely emerges in various social lives, such as commercial trading and mate choosing. Until now, the discussions on bidirectional selection in structured human society are quite limited. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-23 Bin Zhou , Zhe He , Luo-Luo Jiang , Nian-Xin Wang , Bing-Hong Wang

Large language models increasingly rely on explicit reasoning chains and can produce multiple plausible responses for a given context. We study the candidate sampler that produces the set of plausible responses contrasting the ancestral…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Sergey Troshin , Irina Saparina , Antske Fokkens , Vlad Niculae

Statistical models of economic distributions lead to Boltzmann distributions rather than a Pareto power law. This result is supported by two facts: 1. the distributions of income, car sales, marriages or jobs are a matter of chances and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 J. Mimkes , Th. Fruend , G. Willis

Politics around the world exhibits increasing polarization, demonstrated in part by rigid voting configurations in institutions like legislatures or courts. A crux of polarization is separation along a unidimensional ideological axis, but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-12 Edward D. Lee

We study a model of consensus decision making, in which a finite group of Bayesian agents has to choose between one of two courses of action. Each member of the group has a private and independent signal at his or her disposal, giving some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Elchanan Mossel , Omer Tamuz

During deliberation processes, mediators and facilitators typically need to select a small and representative set of opinions later used to produce digestible reports for stakeholders. In online deliberation platforms, algorithmic selection…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Salim Hafid , Manon Berriche , Jean-Philippe Cointet

Rankings are central to decision-making in fields ranging from education to online platforms, yet classical deterministic methods such as the Borda count method or Copeland-type pairwise methods ignore uncertainty due to sampling noise or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Shunpu Zhang

This paper builds upon the work of Dougherty and Heckelman (2020) by determining the frequency that 13 voting systems violate Arrow's social choice criteria with up to six alternatives. These results determine which of the 13 voting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Virochan Pandit , Joseph Cutrone

Most social choice rules assume access to full rankings, while current alignment practice -- despite aiming for diversity -- typically treats voters as anonymous and comparisons as independent, effectively extracting only about one bit per…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Luise Ge , Daniel Halpern , Gregory Kehne , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Current alignment pipelines presume a single, universal notion of desirable behavior. However, human preferences often diverge across users, contexts, and cultures. As a result, disagreement collapses into the majority signal and minority…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Daniel Halpern , Evi Micha , Ariel D. Procaccia , Itai Shapira

We model voting behaviour in the multi-group setting of a two-tier voting system using sequences of de Finetti measures. Our model is defined by using the de Finetti representation of a probability measure (i.e. as a mixture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Gabor Toth

We settle the computational complexity of fundamental questions related to multicriteria integer linear programs, when the dimensions of the strategy space and of the outcome space are considered fixed constants. In particular we construct:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-03 Jesús A. De Loera , Raymond Hemmecke , Matthias Köppe

Online social networks are used to diffuse opinions and ideas among users, enabling a faster communication and a wider audience. The way in which opinions are conditioned by social interactions is usually called social influence. Social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Federico Corò , Emilio Cruciani , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo , Stefano Ponziani

Voting rules based on evaluation inputs rather than preference orders have been recently proposed, like majority judgement, range voting or approval voting. Traditionally, probabilistic analysis of voting rules supposes the use of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Antoine Rolland , Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Irène Gannaz , Samuela Leoni

We present a spectrum of trace-based, testing, and bisimulation equivalences for nondeterministic and probabilistic processes whose activities are all observable. For every equivalence under study, we examine the discriminating power of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-06-13 Marco Bernardo , Rocco De Nicola , Michele Loreti

Despite extensive theoretical research on proportionality in approval-based multiwinner voting, its impact on which committees and candidates can be selected in practice remains poorly understood. We address this gap by (i) analyzing the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Niclas Boehmer , Lara Glessen , Jannik Peters

We construct a probabilistic coherence measure for information sets which determines a partial coherence ordering. This measure is applied in constructing a criterion for expanding our beliefs in the face of new information. A number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Luc Bovens , Stephan Hartmann

Bayesian inference systems should be able to explain their reasoning to users, translating from numerical to natural language. Previous empirical work has investigated the correspondence between absolute probabilities and linguistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Christopher Elsaesser , Max Henrion

Multi-criteria recommender systems can improve the quality of recommendations by considering user preferences on multiple criteria. One promising approach proposed recently is multi-criteria ranking, which uses Pareto ranking to assign a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Yong Zheng , David Xuejun Wang
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