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We introduce a new class of Monte Carlo based approximations of expectations of random variables such that their laws are only available via certain discretizations. Sampling from the discretized versions of these laws can typically…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-17 Dan Crisan , Pierre Del Moral , Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra

In this paper, a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes with underlying fast dynamic is studied. Using a "penalty method" , an averaging result is obtained when the underlying dynamic is infinitely accelerated. The features of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Alexandre Genadot

We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-26 Bhojnarine R. Rambharat , Anthony E. Brockwell

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Motivated by wide-ranging applications such as video delivery over networks using Multiple Description Codes, congestion control, and inventory management, we study the state-tracking of a Markovian random process with a known transition…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-06 Parisa Mansourifard , Tara Javidi , Bhaskar Krishnamachari

We survey a QMC approach to integral equations and develop some new applications to risk modeling. In particular, a rigorous error bound derived from Koksma-Hlawka type inequalities is achieved for certain expectations related to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Michael Preischl , Stefan Thonhauser , Robert F. Tichy

Accurate estimates of long-term risk probabilities and their gradients are critical for many stochastic safe control methods. However, computing such risk probabilities in real-time and in unseen or changing environments is challenging.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-20 Zhuoyuan Wang , Yorie Nakahira

In this work, we study the problem of actively classifying the attributes of dynamical systems characterized as a finite set of Markov decision process (MDP) models. We are interested in finding strategies that actively interact with the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-06 Bo Wu , Niklas Lauffer , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Suda Bharadwaj , Zhe Xu , Ufuk Topcu

Discrepancies play an important role in the study of uniformity properties of point sets. Their probability distributions are a help in the analysis of the efficiency of the Quasi Monte Carlo method of numerical integration, which uses…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 A. F. W. van Hameren

We introduce an approximation strategy for the discounted moments of a stochastic process that can, for a large class of problems, approximate the true moments. These moments appear in pricing formulas of financial products such as bonds…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Chenyu Zhao , Misha van Beek , Peter Spreij , Makhtar Ba

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

We show fundamental properties of the Markov semigroup of recently proposed MCMC algorithms based on Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) such as the Bouncy Particle Sampler, the Zig-Zag process or the Randomized Hamiltonian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Peter Holderrieth

Modified policy iteration (MPI) is a dynamic programming algorithm that combines elements of policy iteration and value iteration. The convergence of MPI has been well studied in the context of discounted and average-cost MDPs. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Yashaswini Murthy , Mehrdad Moharrami , R. Srikant

Dynamic Programming (DP) suffers from the well-known ``curse of dimensionality'', further exacerbated by the need to compute expectations over process noise in stochastic models. This paper presents a Monte Carlo-based sampling approach for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-10 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Ahmad Al-Tawaha , Mohamed Shouman , Ahmed Atallah , Ming Jin

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

Deep learning algorithms have been widely used to solve linear Kolmogorov partial differential equations~(PDEs) in high dimensions, where the loss function is defined as a mathematical expectation. We propose to use the randomized…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Jichang Xiao , Fengjiang Fu , Xiaoqun Wang

Two standard models for probabilistic systems are Markov chains (MCs) and Markov decision processes (MDPs). Classic objectives for such probabilistic models for control and planning problems are reachability and stochastic shortest path.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Mahdi JafariRaviz , Raimundo Saona , Jakub Svoboda

Consider a process, stochastic or deterministic, obtained by using a numerical integration scheme, or from Monte-Carlo methods involving an approximation to an integral, or a Newton-Raphson iteration to approximate the root of an equation.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-17 Don McLeish

In this paper is described the general aspect of a numerical method for piecewise determin-istic Markov processes with boundary. Under very natural hypotheses, a crucial result about uniqueness of solution of a generalized Kolmogorov…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-10-25 Ludovic Goudenège

Improving efficiency of importance sampler is at the center of research in Monte Carlo methods. While adaptive approach is usually difficult within the Markov Chain Monte Carlo framework, the counterpart in importance sampling can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-11 Heng Lian