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Models of threshold driven contagion explain the cascading spread of information, behavior, systemic risk, and epidemics on social, financial and biological networks. At odds with empirical observation, these models predict that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-23 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , János Kertész , Márton Karsai

Interactions in biology and social systems are not restricted to pairwise but can take arbitrary sizes. Extensive studies have revealed that the arbitrary-sized interactions significantly affect the spreading dynamics on networked systems.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Wenyao Li , Xiaoyu Xue , Liming Pan , Tao Lin , Wei Wang

Infectious diseases are practically represented by models with multiple states and complex transition rules corresponding to, for example, birth, death, infection, recovery, disease progression, and quarantine. In addition, networks…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Naoki Masuda , Norio Konno

We consider SIS contagion processes over networks where, a classical assumption is that individuals' decisions to adopt a contagion are based on their immediate neighbors. However, recent literature shows that some attributes are more…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Kristina Lerman

We motivate and explore the basic features of generalized contagion, a model mechanism that unifies fundamental models of biological and social contagion. Generalized contagion builds on the elementary observation that spreading and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-01 Peter Sheridan Dodds

Panic may spread over a crowd in a similar fashion as contagious diseases do in social groups. People no exposed to a panic source may express fear, alerting others of imminent danger. This social mechanism initiates an evacuation process,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-18 F. E. Cornes , G. A. Frank , C. O. Dorso

In ecological systems heterogeneous interactions between pathogens take place simultaneously. This occurs, for instance, when two pathogens cooperate, while at the same time multiple strains of these pathogens co-circulate and compete.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-05 Francesco Pinotti , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Philipp Hövel , Chiara Poletto

Models of contagion arise broadly both in the biological and social sciences, with applications ranging from the transmission of infectious diseases to the diffusion of innovations and the spread of cultural fads. In this Letter, we…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 P. S. Dodds , D. J. Watts

Cooperation and competition between pathogens can alter the amount of individuals affected by a co-infection. Nonetheless, the evolution of the pathogens' behavior has been overlooked. Here, we consider a co-evolutionary model where the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-23 Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Kai Seegers , Alessio Cardillo , Philipp Hövel

Infectious disease transmission in human populations has a complex two-way interaction with changes in host behaviour. It is increasingly recognised that incorporating adaptive behavioural change into epidemic models is important for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-14 Michael J. Plank , Matt Ryan , Lloyd Chapman , Roslyn I. Hickson , Thomas House , Emma McBryde , James M. McCaw

We study a self-consistent approach to introduce higher-order effects in a branching process model of complex contagion on clustered networks. Branching processes operate over an infinite population such that they never circle back and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-20 Leah A. Keating , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

The course of an epidemic is not only shaped by infection transmission over face-to-face contacts, but also by preventive behaviour caused by risk perception and social interactions. This study explores the dynamics of coupled awareness and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-24 Tim Van Wesemael , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan M. Baetens

Contagion models are a primary lens through which we understand the spread of information over social networks. However, simple contagion models cannot reproduce the complex features observed in real-world data, leading to research on more…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-27 Tyson Pond , Saranzaya Magsarjav , Tobin South , Lewis Mitchell , James P. Bagrow

The threshold model is a simple but classic model of contagion spreading in complex social systems. To capture the complex nature of social influencing we investigate numerically and analytically the transition in the behavior of…

Complex contagions describe systems where the probability or rate of contagious transmission is a nonlinear function of the exposure to contagious agents. These models were first studied theoretically but have since been used to capture…

The temporal dynamics of social interactions were shown to influence the spread of disease. Here, we model the conditions of progression and competition for several viral strains, exploring various levels of cross-immunity over temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-14 Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

The spread of traffic jams in urban networks has long been viewed as a complex spatio-temporal phenomenon that often requires computationally intensive microscopic models for analysis purposes. In this study, we present a framework to…

Contact tracing can be thought of as a race between two processes: an infection process and a tracing process. In this paper, we study a simple model of infection spreading on a tree, and a tracer who stabilizes one node at a time. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Michela Meister , Jon Kleinberg

When an infection spreads in a community, an individual's probability of becoming infected depends on both her susceptibility and exposure to the contagion through contact with others. While one often has knowledge regarding an individual's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , John Guttag , Jenna Wiens

We present the mathematical analysis of generalized complex contagions in clustered multiplex networks for susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)-like dynamics. The model is intended to understand diffusion of influence, or any other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-01 Yong Zhuang , Alex Arenas , Osman Yağan