Related papers: An Elementary Analysis of the Probability That a B…

In this paper, we will see that the proportion of d as p th digit, where p > 1 and d $\in$ 0, 9, in data (obtained thanks to the hereunder developed model) is more likely to follow a law whose probability distribution is determined by a…

Let p be an odd prime, such that p_n<p/2<p_{n+1}, where p_n is the n-th prime. We study the following question: with what probability does there exist a prime in the interval (p, 2p_{n+1})? After the strong definition of the probability…

Probabilities of causation play a crucial role in modern decision-making. Pearl defined three binary probabilities of causation, the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of sufficiency (PS), and the probability of…

Let $\pi_n$ be a uniformly chosen random permutation on $[n]$. Using an analysis of the probability that two overlapping consecutive $k$-permutations are order isomorphic, we show that the expected number of distinct consecutive patterns in…

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

We give a simple statistical proof of a binomial identity, by evaluating the Laplace transform of the maximum of n independent exponential random variables in two different ways. As a by product, we obtain a simple proof of an interesting…

Previously, Erd\H{o}s, Kierstead and Trotter investigated the dimension of random height~$2$ partially ordered sets. Their research was motivated primarily by two goals: (1)~analyzing the relative tightness of the F\"{u}redi-Kahn upper…

We consider a random walk X_n in Z_+, starting at X_0=x>= 0, with transition probabilities P(X_{n+1}=X_n+1|X_n=y>=1)=1/2-\delta/(4y+2\delta) P(X_{n+1}=X_n+1|X_n=y>=1)=1/2+\delta/(4y+2\delta) and X_{n+1}=1 whenever X_n=0. We prove that the…

Our interest is whether two binomial parameters differ, which parameter is larger, and by how much. This apparently simple problem was addressed by Fisher in the 1930's, and has been the subject of many review papers since then. Yet there…

Fix some $p\in[0,1]$ and a positive integer $n$. The discrete Bak-Sneppen model is a Markov chain on the space of zero-one sequences of length $n$ with periodic boundary conditions. At each moment of time a minimum element (typically, zero)…

We prove that if $p\geq 1$ and $-1\leq r\leq p-1$ then the binomial sequence $\binom{np+r}{n}$, $n=0,1,...$, is positive definite and is the moment sequence of a probability measure $\nu(p,r)$, whose support is contained in…

We examine a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a strictly increasing sequence of numbers and we prove its Poisson-like limit. Such generalizations might be found in quantum optics with imperfect detection. We…

Let $B(n,p)$ denote a binomial random variable with parameters $n$ and $p$. Chv\'{a}tal's theorem says that for any fixed $n\geq 2$, as $m$ ranges over $\{0,\ldots,n\}$, the probability $q_m:=P(B(n,m/n)\leq m)$ is the smallest when $m$ is…

Continuing the computations of the previous paper,[1], we calculate another approximation to the expectation value of the product of two permanents in the ensemble of 0-1 n x n matrices with like row and column sums equal r uniformly…

We study the problem of computing the tightest upper and lower bounds on the probability that the sum of $n$ dependent Bernoulli random variables exceeds an integer $k$. Under knowledge of all pairs of bivariate distributions denoted by a…

A Poisson Binomial distribution over $n$ variables is the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent Bernoullis. We provide a sample near-optimal algorithm for testing whether a distribution $P$ supported on $\{0,...,n\}$ to which we have…

In a low-order model of the general circulation of the atmosphere we examine the predictability of threshold exceedance events of certain observables. The likelihood of such binary events -- the cornerstone also for the categoric (as…

In this paper, we establish a fundamental connection between binomial parameters and means of bounded random variables. Such connection finds applications in statistical inference of means of bounded variables.

Sequential estimation of a probability $p$ by means of inverse binomial sampling is considered. For $\mu_1,\mu_2>1$ given, the accuracy of an estimator $\hat{p}$ is measured by the confidence level $P[p/\mu_2\leq\hat{p}\leq p\mu_1]$. The…

For an $n\times n$ random image with independent pixels, black with probability $p(n)$ and white with probability $1-p(n)$, the probability of satisfying any given first-order sentence tends to 0 or 1, provided both $p(n)n^{\frac{2}{k}}$…