Related papers: An Elementary Analysis of the Probability That a B…

Let $G$ be a finite graph with minimum degree $r$. Form a random subgraph $G_p$ of $G$ by taking each edge of $G$ into $G_p$ independently and with probability $p$. We prove that for any constant $\epsilon>0$, if $p=\frac{1+\epsilon}{r}$,…

Given a sequence \xi_1, \xi_2,... of X-valued, exchangeable random elements, let q(\xi^(n)) and p_m(\xi^(n)) stand for posterior and predictive distribution, respectively, given \xi^(n) = (\xi_1,..., \xi_n). We provide an upper bound for…

We study how much data a Bayesian observer needs to correctly infer the relative likelihoods of two events when both events are arbitrarily rare. Each period, either a blue die or a red die is tossed. The two dice land on side $1$ with…

This papers contains two results concerning random $n \times n$ Bernoulli matrices. First, we show that with probability tending to one the determinant has absolute value $\sqrt {n!} \exp(O(\sqrt(n log n)))$. Next, we prove a new upper…

The exact expression is derived for the expected value, $< {p_i}> $, for the parameter for any bin $i$ of a histogram following a multinomial distribution derived by sorting $N$ observations into bins of $B$ classes, if $n_i$ of the…

While useful probability bounds for $n$ pairwise independent Bernoulli random variables adding up to at least an integer $k$ have been proposed in the literature, none of these bounds are tight in general. In this paper, we provide several…

Let p_n denote the persistence probability that the first n iterated partial sums of integrable, zero-mean, i.i.d. random variables X_k, are negative. We show that p_n is bounded above up to universal constant by the square root of the…

Let $f$ be a Rademacher or a Steinhaus random multiplicative function. Let $\varepsilon>0$ small. We prove that, as $x\rightarrow +\infty$, we almost surely have $$\bigg|\sum_{\substack{n\leq x\\…

Neglecting many motivating details for the Park-Pham theorem (previously known as the Kahn-Kalai conjecture), the result starts with a finite set $X$, a non-trivial upper set $\mathcal{F} \subseteq 2^X$, and a particular parameterized…

Let X be the random variable that counts the number of triangles in the random graph G(n,p). We show that for some absolute constant c, the probability that X deviates from its expectation by at least \lambda \var(X)^{1/2} is at most…

There has been a great deal of work establishing that random linear codes are as list-decodable as uniformly random codes, in the sense that a random linear binary code of rate $1 - H(p) - \epsilon$ is $(p,O(1/\epsilon))$-list-decodable…

Let $X$ be an isotropic random vector in $R^d$ that satisfies that for every $v \in S^{d-1}$, $\|<X,v>\|_{L_q} \leq L \|<X,v>\|_{L_p}$ for some $q \geq 2p$. We show that for $0<\varepsilon<1$, a set of $N = c(p,q,\varepsilon) d$ random…

Let X1, ..., Xn be arbitrary non-negative independent random variables with respective expected values $\mu_{i}$ at most one. We sketch but do not prove an equivalent conjecture to Feige's Conjecture $\mathbb{P} \left( \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}…

Let $a_1, \dots, a_n \in \mathbb{R}$ satisfy $\sum_i a_i^2 = 1$, and let $\varepsilon_1, \ldots, \varepsilon_n$ be uniformly random $\pm 1$ signs and $X = \sum_{i=1}^{n} a_i \varepsilon_i$. It is conjectured that $X = \sum_{i=1}^{n} a_i…

Let $n$ be a large integer and $M_n$ be a random $n$ by $n$ matrix whose entries are i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables (each entry is $\pm 1$ with probability 1/2). We show that the probability that $M_n$ is singular is at most $(3/4…

Consider a random graph G in G(n,p) and the graph property: G contains a copy of a specific graph H. (Note: H depends on n; a motivating example: H is a Hamiltonian cycle.) Let q be the minimal value for which the expected number of copies…

Let $B(n,p)$ denote a binomial random variable with parameters $n$ and $p$. Vas\v{e}k Chv\'{a}tal conjectured that for any fixed $n\geq 2$, as $m$ ranges over $\{0,\ldots,n\}$, the probability $q_m:=P(B(n,m/n)\leq m)$ is the smallest when…

The exact lower bound on the probability of the occurrence of exactly one of $n$ random events each of probability $p$ is obtained.

We study a new family of random variables, that each arise as the distribution of the maximum or minimum of a random number $N$ of i.i.d.~random variables $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_N$, each distributed as a variable $X$ with support on $[0,1]$. The…

We prove that a random bivariate polynomial with plus minus 1 coefficients is irreducible with high probability.