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Isotonic regression or monotone function estimation is a problem of estimating function values under monotonicity constraints, which appears naturally in many scientific fields. This paper proposes a new Bayesian method with global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Ryo Okano , Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

This paper proposes a Bayesian method for estimating the parameters of a normal distribution when only limited summary statistics (sample mean, minimum, maximum, and sample size) are available. To estimate the parameters of a normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Tomoki Matsumoto

In this paper, we treat estimation and prediction problems where negative multinomial variables are observed and in particular consider unbalanced settings. First, the problem of estimating multiple negative multinomial parameter vectors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Yasuyuki Hamura

Bayesian supervised predictive classifiers, hypothesis testing, and parametric estimation under Partition Exchangeability are implemented. The two classifiers presented are the marginal classifier (that assumes test data is i.i.d.) next to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Ville Kinnula , Jing Tang , Ali Amiryousefi

The known connection between shrinkage estimation, empirical Bayes, and mixed effects models is explored and applied to balanced and unbalanced designs in which the responses are correlated. As an illustration, a mixed model is proposed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Yihan Bao , James G. Booth

We consider the problem of integrating a small probability sample (ps) and a non-probability sample (nps). By definition, for the nps, there are no survey weights, but for the ps, there are survey weights. The key issue is that the nps,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-17 Balgobin Nandram , JNK Rao

Binary observations are often repeated to improve data quality, creating technical replicates. Several scoring methods are commonly used to infer the actual individual state and obtain a probability for each state. The common practice of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Manuela Royer-Carenzi , Hadrien Lorenzo , Pierre Pudlo

Multi-group covariance estimation for matrix-variate data with small within group sample sizes is a key part of many data analysis tasks in modern applications. To obtain accurate group-specific covariance estimates, shrinkage estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Elizabeth Bersson , Peter D. Hoff

A Bayesian estimator aiming at improving the conditional MLE is proposed by introducing a pair of priors. After explaining the conditional MLE by the posterior mode under a prior, we define a promising estimator by the posterior mean under…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 T. Yanagimoto , Y. Miyata

Bayesian hypothesis testing is investigated when the prior probabilities of the hypotheses, taken as a random vector, are quantized. Nearest neighbor and centroid conditions are derived using mean Bayes risk error as a distortion measure…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-09-20 Kush R. Varshney , Lav R. Varshney

Parametric stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in science, often featuring high-dimensional input parameters and/or an intractable likelihood. Performing Bayesian parameter inference in this context can be challenging. We present a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-27 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Alex Cole , Patrick Forré , Gilles Louppe , Christoph Weniger

A novel approach to improve prediction and inference in M-estimation by integrating external information from heterogeneous populations is proposed. Our method leverages joint asymptotics to combine estimates from external and internal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Walter Dempsey , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Consider a situation of analyzing high-dimensional count data containing an excess of near-zero counts with a small number of moderate or large counts. Assuming that the observations are modeled by a Poisson distribution, we are interested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Sayantan Paul , Arijit Chakrabarti

Many applications involve estimating the mean of multiple binomial outcomes as a common problem -- assessing intergenerational mobility of census tracts, estimating prevalence of infectious diseases across countries, and measuring…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-01 Yan Chen , Lihua Lei

In this paper, a procedure is given for estimating the population mean in simple random sampling without replacement in the presence of auxiliary information. The mean squared error expressions of the proposed estimators have been derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-28 Rajesh Singh , Mukesh Kumar , Manoj K. Chaudhary

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

We explore the performance of sample average approximation in comparison with several other methods for stochastic optimization when there is information available on the underlying true probability distribution. The methods we evaluate are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Eddie Anderson , Harrison Nguyen

We study a class of robust mean estimators $\widehat{\mu}$ obtained by adaptively shrinking the weights of sample points far from a base estimator $\widehat{\kappa}$. Given a data-dependent scaling factor $\widehat{\alpha}$ and a weighting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Antônio Catão , Lucas Resende , Paulo Orenstein

We study the problem of loss estimation that involves for an observable $X \sim f_{\theta}$ the choice of a first-stage estimator $\hat{\gamma}$ of $\gamma(\theta)$, incurred loss $L=L(\theta, \hat{\gamma})$, and the choice of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Christine Allard , Éric Marchand

This paper discusses the simultaneous inference of mean parameters in a family of distributions with quadratic variance function. We first introduce a class of semiparametric/parametric shrinkage estimators and establish their asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Xianchao Xie , S. C. Kou , Lawrence Brown