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Human to human transmissible infectious diseases spread in a population using human interactions as its transmission vector. The early stages of such an outbreak can be modeled by a graph whose edges encode these interactions between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Goncalo Oliveira

Graph burning is a discrete process that models the spread of influence through a network using a fire as a proxy for the type of influence being spread. This process was recently extended to hypergraphs. We introduce a variant of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Andrea C. Burgess , John A. Hawkin , Alexander J. M. Howse , Caleb W. Jones , David A. Pike

In this paper, we address a social planner's optimal control problem for a partially observable stochastic epidemic model. The control measures include social distancing, testing, and vaccination. Using a diffusion approximation for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse , Florent Ouabo Kamkumo , Ralf Wunderlich

In a world being hit by waves of COVID-19, vaccination is a light on the horizon. However, the roll-out of vaccination strategies and their influence on the pandemic are still open problems. In order to compare the effect of various…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-23 N. L. Barreiro , C. I. Ventura , T. Govezensky , M. Núñez , P. G. Bolcatto , R. A. Barrio

We study the problem of a policymaker who aims at taming the spread of an epidemic while minimizing its associated social costs. The main feature of our model lies in the fact that the disease's transmission rate is a diffusive stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari

Contacts between individuals serve as pathways where infections may propagate. These contact patterns can be represented by network structures. Static structures have been the common modeling paradigm but recent results suggest that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Adeline Decuyper , Vincent D Blondel

Opposition to vaccination has long been a non-negligible public health phenomenon resulted from people's varied perceptions toward vaccination (e.g., vaccine-phobia). This paper investigates the voluntary vaccination behavior of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-04 Liqun Lu , Yanfeng Ouyang

We study a simple model of epidemics where an infected node transmits the infection to its neighbors independently with probability $p$. This is also known as the independent cascade or Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model with fixed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Yeganeh Alimohammadi , Christian Borgs , Amin Saberi

We study several bayesian inference problems for irreversible stochastic epidemic models on networks from a statistical physics viewpoint. We derive equations which allow to accurately compute the posterior distribution of the time…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-28 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos , Riccardo Zecchina

The Prisoner's Dilemma Process on a graph $G$ is an iterative process where each vertex, with a fixed strategy (cooperate or defect), plays the game with each of its neighbours. At the end of a round each vertex may change its strategy to…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Christopher Duffy , Jeannette Janssen

We consider random dynamics on a uniform random recursive tree with $n$ vertices. Successively, in a uniform random order, each edge is either set on fire with some probability $p_n$ or fireproof with probability $1-p_n$. Fires propagate in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Cyril Marzouk

The outbreak of a pandemic, such as COVID-19, causes major health crises worldwide. Typical measures to contain the rapid spread usually include effective vaccination and strict interventions (Nature Human Behaviour, 2021). Motivated by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Gargi Bakshi , Sujoy Bhore , Suraj Shetiya

Bootstrap percolation in (random) graphs is a contagion dynamics among a set of vertices with certain threshold levels. The process is started by a set of initially infected vertices, and an initially uninfected vertex with threshold $k$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Nils Detering , Jimin Lin

We analyze a game-theoretic abstraction of epidemic containment played on an undirected graph $G$: each player is associated with a node in $G$ and can either acquire protection from a contagious process or risk infection. After decisions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Mason DiCicco , Henry Poskanzer , Daniel Reichman

Stochastic patrol routing is known to be advantageous in adversarial settings; however, the optimal choice of stochastic routing strategy is dependent on a model of the adversary. We adopt a worst-case omniscient adversary model from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-10 Yohan John , Gilberto Diaz-Garcia , Xiaoming Duan , Jason R. Marden , Francesco Bullo

In this paper, we propose an optimization framework that combines surveillance schedules and sparse control to bound the risk of spreading processes such as epidemics and wildfires. Here, risk is considered the risk of an undetected…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-14 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

We analyze four models of epidemic spreading using a stochastic approach in which the primary stochastic variables are the numbers of individuals in each class. The stochastic approach is described by a master equation and the transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

We study the following model of disease spread in a social network. At first, all individuals are either infected or healthy. Next, in discrete rounds, the disease spreads in the network from infected to healthy individuals such that a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Michal Dvořák , Dušan Knop , Šimon Schierreich

Identifying the infection sources in a network, including the index cases that introduce a contagious disease into a population network, the servers that inject a computer virus into a computer network, or the individuals who started a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Wuqiong Luo , Wee Peng Tay , Mei Leng

We study the $r$-complex contagion influence maximization problem. In the influence maximization problem, one chooses a fixed number of initial seeds in a social network to maximize the spread of their influence. In the $r$-complex…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Grant Schoenebeck , Biaoshuai Tao , Fang-Yi Yu