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Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

We consider an optimal stochastic target problem for branching diffusion processes. This problem consists in finding the minimal condition for which a control allows the underlying branching process to reach a target set at a finite…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Idris Kharroubi , Antonio Ocello

Graph burning is a simple model for the spread of social influence in networks. The objective is to measure how quickly a fire (e.g., a piece of fake news) can be spread in a network. The burning process takes place in discrete rounds. In…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-09-05 Shahin Kamali , Avery Miller , Kenny Zhang

The interplay of biological, social, structural and random factors makes disease forecasting extraordinarily complex. The course of an epidemic exhibits average growth dynamics determined by features of the pathogen and the population, yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-24 Andrea J. Allen , Mariah C. Boudreau , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Nosocomial infection raises a serious public health problem, as implied by the existence of pathogens characteristic to healthcare and hospital-mediated outbreaks of influenza and SARS. We simulate stochastic SIR dynamics on social…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-10-19 Taro Ueno , Naoki Masuda

Given a network, the critical node detection problem finds a subset of nodes whose removal disrupts the network connectivity. Since many real-world systems are naturally modeled as graphs, assessing the vulnerability of the network is…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Tuguldur Bayarsaikhan , Altannar Chinchuluun , Ashwin Arulselvan , Panos Pardalos

Viral spread on large graphs has many real-life applications such as malware propagation in computer networks and rumor (or misinformation) spread in Twitter-like online social networks. Although viral spread on large graphs has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Milan Bradonjić , Michael Molloy , Guanhua Yan

We investigate the containment of epidemic spreading in networks from a normative point of view. We consider a susceptible/infected model in which agents can invest in order to reduce the contagiousness of network links. In this setting, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-07-16 Geraldine Bouveret , Antoine Mandel

Computer infections such as viruses and worms spread over networks of contacts between computers, with different types of networks being exploited by different types of infections. Here we analyze the structures of several of these…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Justin Balthrop , Stephanie Forrest , M. E. J. Newman , Matthew M. Williamson

Broadcast and consensus are most fundamental tasks in distributed computing. These tasks are particularly challenging in dynamic networks where communication across the network links may be unreliable, e.g., due to mobility or failures.…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Antoine El-Hayek , Monika Henzinger , Stefan Schmid

We study stochastic graph optimization problems in a novel distributed setting. As in the standard centralized setting, a random subgraph $G^*$ of a known base graph $G$ is realized by including each edge $e$ independently with a known…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Keren Censor-Hillel , Aditi Dudeja , George Giakkoupis

When an epidemic spreads in a network, a key question is where was its source, i.e., the node that started the epidemic. If we know the time at which various nodes were infected, we can attempt to use this information in order to identify…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Brunella Spinelli , L. Elisa Celis , Patrick Thiran

We consider a stochastic network model for epidemics, based on a random graph proposed by Ross [Journal of Applied Probability, 18, 309-315 (1981)]. Members of a population occupy nodes of the graph, with each member being in contact with…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Koenraad Audenaert , Eric P. Hanson , Nilanjana Datta

We define a notion of stochastic domination between trees, where one tree dominates another if when the vertices of each are labeled with independent, identically distributed random variables, one tree is always more likely to contain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle , Yuval Peres

This study presents a family of stochastic models for the dynamics of influenza in a closed human population. We consider treatment for the disease in the form of vaccination, and incorporate the periods of effectiveness of the vaccine and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

Much research has been done on studying the diffusion of ideas or technologies on social networks including the \textit{Influence Maximization} problem and many of its variations. Here, we investigate a type of inverse problem. Given a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-28 Georgios Askalidis , Randall A. Berry , Vijay G. Subramanian

As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We investigate methods to vaccinate contact networks -- i.e. removing nodes in such a way that disease spreading is hindered as much as possible -- with respect to their cost-efficiency. Any real implementation of such protocols would come…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-01 Petter Holme , Nelly Litvak

Individuals change their behavior during an epidemic in response to whether they and/or those they interact with are healthy or sick. Healthy individuals are concerned about contracting a disease from their sick contacts and may utilize…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Ceyhun Eksin , Jeff S. Shamma , Joshua S. Weitz

In this chapter, we consider the problem of designing protection strategies to contain spreading processes in complex cyber-physical networks. We illustrate our ideas using a family of bio-motivated spreading models originally proposed in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-30 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham , Chinwendu Enyioha , Cameron Nowzari , Shuo Han , Masaki Ogura , Ali Jadbabaie , George Pappas
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