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We give a highly efficient "semi-agnostic" algorithm for learning univariate probability distributions that are well approximated by piecewise polynomial density functions. Let $p$ be an arbitrary distribution over an interval $I$ which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Siu-On Chan , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rocco A. Servedio , Xiaorui Sun

We study the density estimation problem defined as follows: given $k$ distributions $p_1, \ldots, p_k$ over a discrete domain $[n]$, as well as a collection of samples chosen from a ``query'' distribution $q$ over $[n]$, output $p_i$ that…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Anders Aamand , Alexandr Andoni , Justin Y. Chen , Piotr Indyk , Shyam Narayanan , Sandeep Silwal , Haike Xu

New Vapnik and Chervonenkis type concentration inequalities are derived for the empirical distribution of an independent random sample. Focus is on the maximal deviation over classes of Borel sets within a low probability region. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Stéphane Lhaut , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

Given a sequence \xi_1, \xi_2,... of X-valued, exchangeable random elements, let q(\xi^(n)) and p_m(\xi^(n)) stand for posterior and predictive distribution, respectively, given \xi^(n) = (\xi_1,..., \xi_n). We provide an upper bound for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Donato Michele Cifarelli , Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

We consider the set M_n of all n-truncated power moment sequences of probability measures on [0,1]. We endow this set with the uniform probability. Picking randomly a point in M_n, we show that the upper canonical measure associated with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fabrice Gamboa , Li-Vang Lozada-Chang

Let $A$ be an $n \times n$ matrix, $X$ be an $n \times p$ matrix and $Y = AX$. A challenging and important problem in data analysis, motivated by dictionary learning and other practical problems, is to recover both $A$ and $X$, given $Y$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-02 Kyle Luh , Van Vu

We study exact confidence intervals and two-sided hypothesis tests for univariate parameters of stochastically increasing discrete distributions, such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. It is shown that several popular methods for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-03 MÅns Thulin , Silvelyn Zwanzig

The mid-p-value is a proposed improvement on the ordinary p-value for the case where the test statistic is partially or completely discrete. In this case, the ordinary p-value is conservative, meaning that its null distribution is larger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Patrick Rubin-Delanchy , Nicholas A. Heard , Daniel John Lawson

We consider interval estimation of the difference between two binomial proportions. Several methods of constructing such an interval are known. Unfortunately those confidence intervals have poor coverage probability: it is significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-11 Wojciech Zieliński

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the extreme value index in presence of random censoring for distributions in the Weibull domain of attraction. The methodologies introduced in [Worms (2014)], in the heavy-tailed case, are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Julien Worms , Rym Worms

Recent likelihood theory produces $p$-values that have remarkable accuracy and wide applicability. The calculations use familiar tools such as maximum likelihood values (MLEs), observed information and parameter rescaling. The usual…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-08 M. Bédard , D. A. S. Fraser , A. Wong

Ratios of random variables often appear in probability and statistical applications. We aim to approximate the moments of such ratios under several dependence assumptions. Extending the ideas in Collomb [C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris 285 (1977)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Paul Doukhan , Gabriel Lang

Fix two words over the binary alphabet $\{0,1\}$, and generate iid Bernoulli$(p)$ bits until one of the words occurs in sequence. This setup, commonly known as Penney's ante, was popularized by Conway, who found (in unpublished work) a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Mathew Drexel , Xuanshan Peng , Jacob Richey

The goal of any estimation study is an interval estimation of a the parameter(s) of interest. These estimations are mostly expressed using empirical confidence intervals that are based on sample point estimates of the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Ilya Novikov

A which-way measurement destroys the twin-slit interference pattern. Bohr argued that distinguishing between two slits a distance s apart gives the particle a random momentum transfer \wp of order h/s. This was accepted for more than 60…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. L. Garretson , H. M. Wiseman , D. T. Pope , D. T. Pegg

When the number of subjects, $n$, is large, paired comparisons are often sparse. Here, we study statistical inference in a class of paired comparison models parameterized by a set of merit parameters, under an Erd\"{o}s--R\'{e}nyi…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Qiuping Wang , Lu Pan , Ting Yan

We consider the problem of closeness testing for two discrete distributions in the practically relevant setting of \emph{unequal} sized samples drawn from each of them. Specifically, given a target error parameter $\varepsilon > 0$, $m_1$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-20 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Gregory Valiant

Following the student t-statistic, normalization has been a widely used method in statistic and other disciplines including economics, ecology and machine learning. We focus on statistics taking the form of a ratio over (some power of) the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Haolin Zou , Heyuan Yao , Victor de la Peña

In this paper, we construct a moment inequality for mixing dependent random variables, it is of independent interest. As applications, the consistency of the kernel density estimation is investigated. Several limit theorems are established:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Yuexu Zhao , Zhengyan Lin

In a prophet inequality problem, $n$ independent random variables are presented to a gambler one by one. The gambler decides when to stop the sequence and obtains the most recent value as reward. We evaluate a stopping rule by the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Andrés Cristi , Bruno Ziliotto