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Theoretical results for importance sampling rely on the existence of certain moments of the importance weights, which are the ratios between the proposal and target densities. In particular, a finite variance ensures square root convergence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-31 Michael K. Pitt , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Marcel Scharth , Robert Kohn

We establish several optimal moment comparison inequalities (Khinchin-type inequalities) for weighted sums of independent identically distributed symmetric discrete random variables which are uniform on sets of consecutive integers.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Alex Havrilla , Tomasz Tkocz

Bayesian classification labels observations based on given prior information, namely class-a priori and class-conditional probabilities. Bayes' risk is the minimum expected classification cost that is achieved by the Bayes' test, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Frank Nielsen

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

In this paper, we investigate the distribution of the maximum of partial sums of certain cubic exponential sums, commonly known as "Birch sums". Our main theorem gives upper and lower bounds (of nearly the same order of magnitude) for the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Youness Lamzouri

Let $f$ be a Gaussian random field on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and let $X$ be the number of critical points of $f$ contained in a compact subset. A long-standing conjecture is that, under mild regularity and non-degeneracy conditions on $f$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Louis Gass , Michele Stecconi

We study the relative entropy of the empirical probability vector with respect to the true probability vector in multinomial sampling of $k$ categories, which, when multiplied by sample size $n$, is also the log-likelihood ratio statistic.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-06 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

This paper considers the estimation of Shannon entropy for discrete distributions with countably infinite support. While minimax rates for finite-support distributions are established, infinite-support distributions present distinct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Octavio César Mesner

Denoting by $P_N(A,\theta)=\det(I-Ae^{-i\theta})$ the characteristic polynomial on the unit circle in the complex plane of an $N\times N$ random unitary matrix $A$, we calculate the $k$th moment, defined with respect to an average over…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-24 E. C. Bailey , J. P. Keating

In modern scientific research, small-scale studies with limited participants are increasingly common. However, interpreting individual outcomes can be challenging, making it standard practice to combine data across studies using random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Lucas Kania , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Let $p$ be an odd prime, let $n\ge2$, and let the $n$th Chebyshev polynomial $T_n$ act on $\Z/p^k\Z$. We count fixed and exact-periodic points, allowing non-permutation degrees, and organize the finite-field formulas by the two source…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Chatchawan Panraksa , Aram Tangboonduangjit

We provide new bounds for the rate of convergence of the multivariate Central Limit Theorem in Wasserstein distances of order $p \geq 2$. In particular, we obtain what we conjecture to be the asymptotically optimal rate whenever the density…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Thomas Bonis

Running machine learning algorithms on large and rapidly growing volumes of data is often computationally expensive, one common trick to reduce the size of a data set, and thus reduce the computational cost of machine learning algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Shaojie Tang , Jing Yuan

A famous result in renewal theory is the Central Limit Theorem for renewal processes. As in applications usually only observations from a finite time interval are available, a bound on the Kolmogorov distance to the normal distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Gesine Reinert , Ce Yang

In this paper we find lower bounds on higher moments of the error term in the Chebotarev density theorem. Inspired by the work of Bella\''{\i}che, we consider general class functions and prove bounds which depend on norms associated to…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Régis de La Bretèche , Daniel Fiorilli , Florent Jouve

Given samples from an unknown distribution $p$, is it possible to distinguish whether $p$ belongs to some class of distributions $\mathcal{C}$ versus $p$ being far from every distribution in $\mathcal{C}$? This fundamental question has…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-12-09 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis , Gautam Kamath

To improve convergence results obtained using a framework for unsymmetric meshless methods due to Schaback (Preprint G\"ottingen 2006), we extend, in two directions, the Sobolev bound due to Arcang\'eli et al. (Numer Math 107, 181-211,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-05-14 Andrew Corrigan , John Wallin , Thomas Wanner

For a fixed elliptic curve $E$ without complex multiplication, $a_p := p+1 - \#E(\mathbb{F}_p)$ is $O(\sqrt{p})$ and $a_p/2\sqrt{p}$ converges to a semicircular distribution. Michel proved that for a one-parameter family of elliptic curves…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-30 Timothy Cheek , Pico Gilman , Kareem Jaber , Steven J. Miller , Vismay Sharan , Marie-Hélène Tomé

It is well known that estimating the expectation of any given bounded random variable with values in $[-B, B]$ has a sample complexity of $\mathrm{O}(B^2/\epsilon^2)$ that is independent of the underlying probability measure. We show that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Yan Li
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