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Recurrent neural network based solutions are increasingly being used in the analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record data. However, most works focus on prediction accuracy and neglect prediction uncertainty. We propose Deep Kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Peter A. Fasching , Volker Tresp

Neural forecasting of spatiotemporal time series drives both research and industrial innovation in several relevant application domains. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are often the core component of the forecasting architecture. However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Cesare Alippi

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

We introduce Active Tuning, a novel paradigm for optimizing the internal dynamics of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) on the fly. In contrast to the conventional sequence-to-sequence mapping scheme, Active Tuning decouples the RNN's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Sebastian Otte , Matthias Karlbauer , Martin V. Butz

Obesity is a serious public health concern world-wide, which increases the risk of many diseases, including hypertension, stroke, and type 2 diabetes. To tackle this problem, researchers across the health ecosystem are collecting diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Qinghan Xue , Xiaoran Wang , Samuel Meehan , Jilong Kuang , Alex Gao , Mooi Choo Chuah

We propose a new model for networks of time series that influence each other. Graph structures among time series are found in diverse domains, such as web traffic influenced by hyperlinks, product sales influenced by recommendation, or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Alasdair Tran , Alexander Mathews , Cheng Soon Ong , Lexing Xie

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori

Spiking neural networks, also often referred to as the third generation of neural networks, carry the potential for a massive reduction in memory and energy consumption over traditional, second-generation neural networks. Inspired by the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Alexander Henkes , Jason K. Eshraghian , Henning Wessels

In this paper we develop a novel Topological Data Analysis (TDA) approach for studying graph representations of time series of dynamical systems. Specifically, we show how persistent homology, a tool from TDA, can be used to yield a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-01-28 Audun Myers , Elizabeth Munch , Firas A. Khasawneh

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

Discrete-time models are very convenient to simulate a nonlinear system on a computer. In order to build the discrete-time simulation models for the nonlinear feedback systems (which is a very important class of systems in many…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-15 Rishi Relan , Johan Schoukens

We introduce a self-consistent deep-learning framework which, for a noisy deterministic time series, provides unsupervised filtering, state-space reconstruction, identification of the underlying differential equations and forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Zhe Wang , Claude Guet

Topological data analysis is an emerging mathematical concept for characterizing shapes in multi-scale data. In this field, persistence diagrams are widely used as a descriptor of the input data, and can distinguish robust and noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-13 Genki Kusano , Kenji Fukumizu , Yasuaki Hiraoka

Manifold-learning techniques are routinely used in mining complex spatiotemporal data to extract useful, parsimonious data representations/parametrizations; these are, in turn, useful in nonlinear model identification tasks. We focus here…

This paper presents a nonlinear model predictive control strategy for stochastic systems with general (state and input dependent) disturbances subject to chance constraints. Our approach uses an online computed stochastic tube to ensure…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Henning Schlüter , Frank Allgöwer

We present a new recurrent neural network topology to enhance state-of-the-art machine learning systems by incorporating a broader context. Our approach overcomes recent limitations with extended narratives through a multi-layered…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Patrick Huber , Jan Niehues , Alex Waibel

Given partial measurements of a time-varying graph signal, we propose an algorithm to simultaneously estimate both the underlying graph topology and the missing measurements. The proposed algorithm operates by training an interpretable…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-17 Subbareddy Batreddy , Pushkal Mishra , Yaswanth Kakarla , Aditya Siripuram

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

The celebrated Takens' embedding theorem provides a theoretical foundation for reconstructing the full state of a dynamical system from partial observations. However, the classical theorem assumes that the underlying system is deterministic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Jonah Botvinick-Greenhouse , Maria Oprea , Romit Maulik , Yunan Yang

Fault diagnostics are extremely important to decide proper actions toward fault isolation and system restoration. The growing integration of inverter-based distributed energy resources imposes strong influences on fault detection using…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Bang Nguyen , Tuyen Vu , Thai-Thanh Nguyen , Mayank Panwar , Rob Hovsapian