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Estimating the unknown causal dependencies among graph-connected time series plays an important role in many applications, such as sensor network analysis, signal processing over cyber-physical systems, and finance engineering. Inference of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-02 Rohan Money , Joshin Krishnan , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Steady-state solutions for a variety of relevant queueing systems are known today, e.g., from queueing theory, effective bandwidths, and network calculus. The behavior during transient phases, on the other hand, is understood to a much…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Nico Becker , Markus Fidler

Many works have been proposed in the literature to capture the dynamics of diffusion in networks. While some of them define graphical markovian models to extract temporal relationships between node infections in networks, others consider…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Sylvain Lamprier

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

We present a general method for reconstruction of a network of nonlinearly coupled neural fields from the observations. A prominent example of such a system is a dynamical random neural network model studied by Sompolinsky et. al [Phys.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-11-16 A. Pikovsky

Irregularly measured time series are common in many of the applied settings in which time series modelling is a key statistical tool, including medicine. This provides challenges in model choice, often necessitating imputation or similar…

Recent advances in digitization have led to the availability of multivariate time series data in various domains, enabling real-time monitoring of operations. Identifying abnormal data patterns and detecting potential failures in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Wang , Keli Wang , Boyu Yao

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Real-world dynamical systems with retardation effects are described in general not by a single, precisely defined time delay, but by a range of delay times. An exact mapping onto a set of $N+1$ ordinary differential equations exists when…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Daniel Henrik Nevermann , Claudius Gros

Accurate gene regulatory networks can be used to explain the emergence of different phenotypes, disease mechanisms, and other biological functions. Many methods have been proposed to infer networks from gene expression data but have been…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-11 Phan Nguyen , Rosemary Braun

We develop a rigorous theoretical framework for principal manifold estimation that recovers a latent low-dimensional manifold from a point cloud observed in a high-dimensional ambient space. Our framework accommodates manifolds with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Kun Meng , Christopher Perez

Persistent homology is a cornerstone of topological data analysis, offering a multiscale summary of topology with robustness to nuisance transformations, such as rotations and small deformations. Persistent homology has seen broad use…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Zitian Wu , Arkaprava Roy , Leo L. Duan

We perform topological data analysis on the internal states of convolutional deep neural networks to develop an understanding of the computations that they perform. We apply this understanding to modify the computations so as to (a) speed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Gunnar Carlsson , Rickard Brüel Gabrielsson

Reservoir computing is a popular approach to design recurrent neural networks, due to its training simplicity and approximation performance. The recurrent part of these networks is not trained (e.g., via gradient descent), making them…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Pietro Verzelli , Cesare Alippi , Lorenzo Livi , Peter Tino

This article presents a new continuous-time modelling framework for multivariate time series of counts which have an infinitely divisible marginal distribution. The model is based on a mixed moving average process driven by L\'{e}vy noise -…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Almut E. D. Veraart

Analyzing data from paleoclimate archives such as tree rings or lake sediments offers the opportunity of inferring information on past climate variability. Often, such data sets are univariate and a proper reconstruction of the system's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-29 Jaqueline Lekscha , Reik V. Donner

In this paper it is reconsidered the prediction problem in time series framework by using a new non-parametric approach. Through this reconsideration, the prediction is obtained by a weighted sum of past observed data. These weights are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-27 Pedro Cadahía , Jose Manuel Bravo Caro

Discrete-time systems under aperiodic sampling may serve as a modeling abstraction for a multitude of problems arising in cyber-physical and networked control systems. Recently, model- and data-based stability conditions for such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-28 Stefan Wildhagen , Julian Berberich , Matthias Hirche , Frank Allgöwer

Identifying the topology underlying a set of time series is useful for tasks such as prediction, denoising, and data completion. Vector autoregressive (VAR) model-based topologies capture dependencies among time series and are often…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

A major problem in the study of complex socioeconomic systems is represented by privacy issues$-$that can put severe limitations on the amount of accessible information, forcing to build models on the basis of incomplete knowledge. In this…

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