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Comparing mathematical models offers a means to evaluate competing scientific theories. However, exact methods of model calibration are not applicable to many probabilistic models which simulate high-dimensional spatio-temporal data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Robert A McDonald , Helen M Byrne , Heather A Harrington , Thomas Thorne , Bernadette J Stolz

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

The reservoir computing paradigm is employed to classify heartbeat anomalies online based on electrocardiogram signals. Inspired by the principles of information processing in the brain, reservoir computing provides a framework to design,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Fatemeh Hadaeghi

A common problem in time series analysis is to predict dynamics with only scalar or partial observations of the underlying dynamical system. For data on a smooth compact manifold, Takens theorem proves a time delayed embedding of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Charles D. Young , Michael D. Graham

In this work, a novel approach for the construction and training of time series models is presented that deals with the problem of learning on large time series with non-equispaced observations, which at the same time may possess features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Charilaos Mylonas , Eleni Chatzi

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is the collection of mathematical tools that capture the structure of shapes in data. Despite computational topology and computational geometry, the utilization of TDA in time series and signal processing is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Shafie Gholizadeh , Wlodek Zadrozny

This paper proposes a computationally efficient framework, based on interval analysis, for rigorous verification of nonlinear continuous-time dynamical systems with neural network controllers. Given a neural network, we use an existing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-08 Saber Jafarpour , Akash Harapanahalli , Samuel Coogan

The motion of and interaction between phase singularities that anchor spiral waves captures many qualitative and, in some cases, quantitative features of complex dynamics in excitable systems. Being able to accurately reconstruct their…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-07-24 Daniel R. Gurevich , Roman O. Grigoriev

We propose a novel class of time-varying nonparanormal graphical models, which allows us to model high dimensional heavy-tailed systems and the evolution of their latent network structures. Under this model, we develop statistical tests for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Junwei Lu , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

Prediction and discovery of new materials with desired properties are at the forefront of quantum science and technology research. A major bottleneck in this field is the computational resources and time complexity related to finding new…

The introduction of unexpected system disturbances and new system dynamics does not allow guaranteed continuous system stability. In this research we present a novel approach for detecting early failure indicators of non-linear highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-02 Amr Mahmoud , Youmna Ismaeil , Mohamed Zohdy

Probabilistic Manifold Decomposition (PMD)\cite{doi:10.1137/25M1738863}, developed in our earlier work, provides a nonlinear model reduction by embedding high-dimensional dynamics onto low-dimensional probabilistic manifolds. The PMD has…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Jiaming Guo , Dunhui Xiao

The task of modelling and forecasting a dynamical system is one of the oldest problems, and it remains challenging. Broadly, this task has two subtasks - extracting the full dynamical information from a partial observation; and then…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Tyrus Berry , Suddhasattwa Das

Time series data, defined by equally spaced points over time, is essential in fields like medicine, telecommunications, and energy. Analyzing it involves tasks such as classification, clustering, prototyping, and regression. Classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Ali Ismail-Fawaz

We introduce a consistent estimator for the homology (an algebraic structure representing connected components and cycles) of level sets of both density and regression functions. Our method is based on kernel estimation. We apply this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-30 Omer Bobrowski , Sayan Mukherjee , Jonathan E. Taylor

Irregularly-sampled time series occur in many domains including healthcare. They can be challenging to model because they do not naturally yield a fixed-dimensional representation as required by many standard machine learning models. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Steven Cheng-Xian Li , Benjamin M. Marlin

Natural systems are typically nonlinear and complex, and it is of great interest to be able to reconstruct a system in order to understand its mechanism, which can not only recover nonlinear behaviors but also predict future dynamics. Due…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-11-03 Huanfei Ma , Siyang Leng , Luonan Chen

Ability of deep networks to extract high level features and of recurrent networks to perform time-series inference have been studied. In view of universality of one hidden layer network at approximating functions under weak constraints, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-19 Sharat C. Prasad , Piyush Prasad

This paper studies theory and inference related to a class of time series models that incorporates nonlinear dynamics. It is assumed that the observations follow a one-parameter exponential family of distributions given an accompanying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Richard A. Davis , Heng Liu
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