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Earth observation (EO) data such as satellite imagery can have far-reaching impacts on our understanding of the geography of poverty, especially when coupled with machine learning (ML) and computer vision. Early research used computer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Kazuki Sakamoto , Connor T. Jerzak , Adel Daoud

We introduce a novel machine learning approach to leverage historical and contemporary maps and systematically predict economic statistics. Our simple algorithm extracts meaningful features from the maps based on their color compositions…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-04 Imryoung Jeong , Hyunjoo Yang

The need for rigorous and timely health and demographic summaries has provided the impetus for an explosion in geographic studies, with a common approach being the production of pixel-level maps, particularly in low and middle income…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-16 John Paige , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler , Jon Wakefield

Humanitarian mapping from space with machine learning helps policy-makers to timely and accurately identify people in need. However, recent concerns around fairness and transparency of algorithmic decision-making are a significant obstacle…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Lukas Kondmann , Xiao Xiang Zhu

The problem of class imbalance is extensive for focusing on numerous applications in the real world. In such a situation, nearly all of the examples are labeled as one class called majority class, while far fewer examples are labeled as the…

Obtaining reliable data describing local poverty metrics at a granularity that is informative to policy-makers requires expensive and logistically difficult surveys, particularly in the developing world. Not surprisingly, the poverty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Anthony Perez , Swetava Ganguli , Stefano Ermon , George Azzari , Marshall Burke , David Lobell

Operating with ignorance is an important concern of the Machine Learning research, especially when the objective is to discover knowledge from the imperfect data. Data mining (driven by appropriate knowledge discovery tools) is about…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Vagan Terziyan , Anton Nikulin

Being able to learn from small amounts of data is a key characteristic of human intelligence, but exactly {\em how} small? In this paper, we introduce a novel experimental paradigm that allows us to examine classification in an extremely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Maya Malaviya , Ilia Sucholutsky , Kerem Oktar , Thomas L. Griffiths

High-resolution daytime satellite imagery has become a promising source to study economic activities. These images display detailed terrain over large areas and allow zooming into smaller neighborhoods. Existing methods, however, have…

Can we use data on the biographies of historical figures to estimate the GDP per capita of countries and regions? Here we introduce a machine learning method to estimate the GDP per capita of dozens of countries and hundreds of regions in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-15 Philipp Koch , Viktor Stojkoski , César A. Hidalgo

Contact matrices are a commonly adopted data representation, used to develop compartmental models for epidemic spreading, accounting for the contact heterogeneities across age groups. Their estimation, however, is generally time and effort…

The use of remote sensing in humanitarian crisis response missions is well-established and has proven relevant repeatedly. One of the problems is obtaining gold annotations as it is costly and time consuming which makes it almost impossible…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Adrianna Janik , Kris Sankaran

Improving health in the most disadvantaged populations requires reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators to inform policy and interventions. Low- and middle-income countries with the largest burden of disease and disability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Austin E Schumacher , Jon Wakefield

The evaluation of a multifaceted program against extreme poverty in different developing countries gave encouraging results, but with important heterogeneity between countries. This master thesis proposes to study this heterogeneity with a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-15 Louis Charlot

A key challenge for targeted antipoverty programs in developing countries is that policymakers must rely on estimated rather than observed income, which leads to substantial targeting errors. The policy problem is not only to predict…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Juan C. Yamin

This paper proposes a methodology to obtain estimates in small domains when the target is a composite indicator. These indicators are of utmost importance for studying multidimensional phenomena, but little research has been done on how to…

The predictive machine learning models for child mortality tend to be inaccurate when applied to future populations, since they suffer from look-ahead bias due to the randomization used in cross-validation. The Demographic and Health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Md Muhtasim Munif Fahim , Md Rezaul Karim

We describe two techniques that significantly improve the running time of several standard machine-learning algorithms when data is sparse. The first technique is an algorithm that effeciently extracts one-way and two-way counts--either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman

In critical machine learning applications, ensuring fairness is essential to avoid perpetuating social inequities. In this work, we address the challenges of reducing bias and improving accuracy in data-scarce environments, where the cost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Romain Camilleri , Andrew Wagenmaker , Jamie Morgenstern , Lalit Jain , Kevin Jamieson

We propose a model to tackle classification tasks in the presence of very little training data. To this aim, we approximate the notion of exact match with a theoretically sound mechanism that computes a probability of matching in the input…

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