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A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper we focus on the parameter estimation of dynamic load models with stochastic terms, in particular, load models where protection settings are uncertain, such as in aggregated air conditioning units. We show how the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu , Vivak Patel

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to model biological, (bio-)chemical and technical processes. The parameters of these ODEs are often estimated from experimental data using ODE-constrained optimisation. This article…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Anna Fiedler , Fabian J. Theis , Jan Hasenauer

In this study, we estimate parameters in stochastic oscillatory systems by developing a novel cost function. This function incorporates power spectral density, analytic signal, and position crossings, each weighted to capture distinct…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-02 Joseph M. Marcinik , Dzmitry Vaido , Dolores Bozovic

Many spatial processes exhibit nonstationary features. We estimate a variance function from a single process observation where the errors are nonstationary and correlated. We propose a difference-based approach for a one-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-24 Eunice J. Kim , Zhengyuan Zhu

We study nonparametric estimation in dynamical systems described by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Specifically, we focus on estimating the unknown function $f \colon \mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}^d$ that governs the system dynamics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-06 Christof Schötz

In this work, we consider the regularity property of stochastic convolutions for a class of abstract linear stochastic retarded functional differential equations with unbounded operator coefficients. We first establish some useful estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Kai Liu

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

This paper develops a unified methodology for probabilistic analysis and optimal control design for jump diffusion processes defined by polynomials. For such systems, the evolution of the moments of the state can be described via a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) is widely used in modeling biological and physical processes in science. In this article, we propose a new reproducing kernel-based approach for estimation and inference of ODE given noisy observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Xiaowu Dai , Lexin Li

We unify and extend the semigroup and the PDE approaches to stochastic maximal regularity of time-dependent semilinear parabolic problems with noise given by a cylindrical Brownian motion. We treat random coefficients that are only…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Pierre Portal , Mark Veraar

Macroscopic models for spatially extended systems under random influences are often described by stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Some techniques for understanding solutions of such equations, such as estimating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Jinqiao Duan

Identification of a linear time-invariant dynamical system from partial observations is a fundamental problem in control theory. Particularly challenging are systems exhibiting long-term memory. A natural question is how learn such systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Holden Lee

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are used to describe a wide variety of complex stochastic dynamical systems. Learning the hidden physics within SDEs is crucial for unraveling fundamental understanding of these systems' stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Jared O'Leary , Joel A. Paulson , Ali Mesbah

Fractional calculus provides a rigorous mathematical framework to describe anomalous stochastic processes by generalizing the notion of classical differential equations to their fractional-order counterparts. By introducing the fractional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Ehsan Kharazmi , Mohsen Zayernouri

A pure frequency domain method for the computation of periodic solutions of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is proposed in this study. The method is particularly suitable for the analysis of systems that feature distinct…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-07 Malte Krack , Lars Panning-von Scheidt , Jörg Wallaschek

Inferring the parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from noisy observations is an important problem in many scientific fields. Currently, most parameter estimation methods that bypass numerical integration tend to rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Mingwei Xu , Samuel W. K. Wong , Peijun Sang

This paper proposes a novel fault detection and isolation (FDI) scheme for distributed parameter systems modeled by a class of parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) with nonlinear uncertain dynamics. A key feature of the proposed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-31 Jingting Zhang , Chengzhi Yuan , Wei Zeng , Cong Wang

Nonlinear dynamical systems are sometimes under the influence of random fluctuations. It is desirable to examine possible bifurcations for stochastic dynamical systems when a parameter varies. A computational analysis is conducted to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Huiqin Chen , Jinqiao Duan , Chengjian Zhang

This paper proposes a probabilistic Bayesian formulation for system identification (ID) and estimation of nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models. Nonseparable Hamiltonian systems arise in models from diverse…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Harsh Sharma , Nicholas Galioto , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Boris Kramer
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