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In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Lea Duncker , Gergo Bohner , Julien Boussard , Maneesh Sahani

We build and study a data-driven procedure for the estimation of the stationary density f of an additive fractional SDE. To this end, we also prove some new concentrations bounds for discrete observations of such dynamics in stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Fabien Panloup , Maylis Varvenne

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are of utmost importance in various scientific and industrial areas. They are the natural description of dynamical processes whose precise equations of motion are either not known or too expensive to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-08 Philipp Frank , Theo Steininger , Torsten A. Enßlin

In this paper, modulating functions-based method is proposed for estimating space-time dependent unknowns in one-dimensional partial differential equations. The proposed method simplified the problem into a system of algebraic equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Sharefa Asiri , Taous-Meriem Laleg-Kirati

Parameter estimation for non-stationary stochastic differential equations (SDE) with an arbitrary nonlinear drift, and nonlinear diffusion is accomplished in combination with a non-parametric clustering methodology. Such a model-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Vyacheslav Boyko , Sebastian Krumscheid , Nikki Vercauteren

In this paper, we study almost periodic solutions for semilinear stochastic differential equations driven by L\'{e}vy noise with exponential dichotomy property. Under suitable conditions on the coefficients, we obtain the existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Yan Wang

The reconstruction and inference of stochastic dynamical systems from data is a fundamental task in inverse problems and statistical learning. While surrogate modeling advances computational methods to approximate these dynamics, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nicole Tianjiao Yang

Estimating the parameters governing the dynamics of a system is a prerequisite for its optimal control. We present a simple but powerful method that we call STEADY, for STochastic Estimation algorithm for DYnamical variables, to estimate…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Stefan Krastanov , Sisi Zhou , Steven T. Flammia , Liang Jiang

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

We provide a novel computer-assisted technique for systematically analyzing first-order methods for optimization. In contrast with previous works, the approach is particularly suited for handling sublinear convergence rates and stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Linus Heck , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Michael T. Schaub , Niklas Boers

Perception of time from sequentially acquired sensory inputs is rooted in everyday behaviors of individual organisms. Yet, most algorithms for time-series modeling fail to learn dynamics of random event timings directly from visual or audio…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Hengguan Huang , Hongfu Liu , Hao Wang , Chang Xiao , Ye Wang

The focus of this work is on local stability of a class of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODE) that describe limits of empirical measures associated with finite-state weakly interacting N-particle systems. Local Lyapunov…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Markus Fischer , Kavita Ramanan

This thesis addresses the question of stability of systems defined by differential equations which contain nonlinearity and delay. In particular, we analyze the stability of a well-known delayed nonlinear implementation of a certain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Matthew M. Peet

This paper addresses the synthesis of interval observers for partially unknown nonlinear systems subject to bounded noise, aiming to simultaneously estimate system states and learn a model of the unknown dynamics. Our approach leverages…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-15 Mohammad Khajenejad , Zeyuan Jin

We study the estimation of time-homogeneous drift functions in multivariate stochastic differential equations with known diffusion coefficient, from multiple trajectories observed at high frequency over a fixed time horizon. We formulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Marcos Tapia Costa , Nikolas Kantas , George Deligiannidis

This paper is devoted to studying the stationary solutions of a general constrained optimization problem through its associated unconstrained penalized problems. We aim to answer the question, "what do the stationary solutions of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Ashkan Mohammadi

We introduce a novel framework for uncertainty quantification of solution operators associated with stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Although SPDEs play a central role in modeling complex physical systems under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Phuoc-Toan Huynh , Richard Archibald , Feng Bao

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan