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It is often of interest to test a global null hypothesis using multiple, possibly dependent $p$-values by combining their strengths while controlling the type-I error. Recently, several heavy-tailed combination tests, such as the harmonic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Parijat Chakraborty , F. Richard Guo , Kerby Shedden , Stilian Stoev

Complex distributions of the healthcare expenditure pose challenges to statistical modeling via a single model. Super learning, an ensemble method that combines a range of candidate models, is a promising alternative for cost estimation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Ziyue Wu , David Benkeser

Likelihood-based procedures are a common way to estimate tail dependence parameters. They are not applicable, however, in non-differentiable models such as those arising from recent max-linear structural equation models. Moreover, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 John H. J. Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

The construction and theoretical analysis of the most popular universally consistent nonparametric density estimators hinge on one functional property: smoothness. In this paper we investigate the theoretical implications of incorporating a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Robert A. Vandermeulen , Antoine Ledent

Hybrid controlled trials (HCTs), which augment randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with external controls (ECs), are increasingly receiving attention as a way to address limited power, slow accrual, and ethical concerns in clinical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Jiajun Liu , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

The Bayesian lasso is well-known as a Bayesian alternative for Lasso. Although the advantage of the Bayesian lasso is capable of full probabilistic uncertain quantification for parameters, the corresponding posterior distribution can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Jun Kawakami , Shintaro Hashimoto

We present new M-estimators of the mean and variance of real valued random variables, based on PAC-Bayes bounds. We analyze the non-asymptotic minimax properties of the deviations of those estimators for sample distributions having either a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-15 Olivier Catoni

The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Missing outcome data is one of the principal threats to the validity of treatment effect estimates from randomized trials. The outcome distributions of participants with missing and observed data are often different, which increases the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-06 Iván Díaz , Mark J. van der Laan

Randomized compilation protocols have recently attracted attention as alternatives to traditional deterministic Trotter-Suzuki methods, potentially reducing circuit depth and resource overhead. These protocols determine gate application…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-22 Yun-Zhuo Fan , Yu-Xia Wu , Dan-Bo Zhang

In survey sampling, survey data do not necessarily represent the target population, and the samples are often biased. However, information on the survey weights aids in the elimination of selection bias. The Horvitz-Thompson estimator is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Kosuke Morikawa , Yoshikazu Terada , Jae Kwang Kim

We consider the problem of robust estimation involving filtering and smoothing for nonlinear state space models which are disturbed by heavy-tailed impulsive noises. To deal with heavy-tailed noises and improve the robustness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-01 Hongwei Wang , Hongbin Li , Junyi Zuo , Wei Zhang , Heping Wang

We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jonathan B. Hill

The least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator is a renowned robust alternative to the classic least squares estimator and is popular in location, regression, machine learning, and AI literature. Many studies exist on LTS, including its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-10 Yijun Zuo

This work studies applications and generalizations of a simple estimation technique that provides exponential concentration under heavy-tailed distributions, assuming only bounded low-order moments. We show that the technique can be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Daniel Hsu , Sivan Sabato

Robustly determining the optimal number of clusters in a data set is an essential factor in a wide range of applications. Cluster enumeration becomes challenging when the true underlying structure in the observed data is corrupted by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-06 Christian A. Schroth , Michael Muma

Adversarially robust learning aims to design algorithms that are robust to small adversarial perturbations on input variables. Beyond the existing studies on the predictive performance to adversarial samples, our goal is to understand…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Yue Xing , Ruizhi Zhang , Guang Cheng

We present a new Bayesian approach to model-robust linear regression that leads to uncertainty estimates with the same robustness properties as the Huber--White sandwich estimator. The sandwich estimator is known to provide asymptotically…

Applications · Statistics 2011-01-10 Adam A. Szpiro , Kenneth M. Rice , Thomas Lumley

Finite sample properties of random covariance-type matrices have been the subject of much research. In this paper we focus on the "lower tail" of such a matrix, and prove that it is subgaussian under a simple fourth moment assumption on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We present a new method for high-dimensional linear regression when a scale parameter of the additive errors is unknown. The proposed estimator is based on a penalized Huber $M$-estimator, for which theoretical results on estimation error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Po-Ling Loh