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We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yannick Baraud , Guillaume Maillard

We consider a robust estimation of linear regression coefficients. In this note, we focus on the case where the covariates are sampled from an $L$-subGaussian distribution with unknown covariance, the noises are sampled from a distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Takeyuki Sasai , Hironori Fujisawa

Heavy-tailed models are used as a way to gain robustness against outliers in Bayesian analyses. In frequentist analyses, M-estimators are often employed. In this paper, the two approaches are tentatively reconciled by considering…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Philippe Gagnon , Alain Desgagné

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

This paper concerns the robust regression model when the number of predictors and the number of observations grow in a similar rate. Theory for M-estimators in this regime has been recently developed by several authors [El Karoui et al.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

Muon is a recently proposed optimizer that enforces orthogonality in parameter updates by projecting gradients onto the Stiefel manifold, leading to stable and efficient training in large-scale deep neural networks. Meanwhile, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Hideaki Iiduka

Low-rank tensor models are widely used in statistics. However, most existing methods rely heavily on the assumption that data follows a sub-Gaussian distribution. To address the challenges associated with heavy-tailed distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Xiaoyu Zhang , Di Wang , Guodong Li , Defeng Sun

It is well-known that trimmed sample means are robust against heavy tails and data contamination. This paper analyzes the performance of trimmed means and related methods in two novel contexts. The first one consists of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Roberto I. Oliveira , Lucas Resende

Models based on multivariate t distributions are widely applied to analyze data with heavy tails. However, all the marginal distributions of the multivariate t distributions are restricted to have the same degrees of freedom, making these…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-08 Zhichao Jiang , Peng Ding

Robust loss minimization is an important strategy for handling robust learning issue on noisy labels. Current robust loss functions, however, inevitably involve hyperparameter(s) to be tuned, manually or heuristically through cross…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Jun Shu , Qian Zhao , Keyu Chen , Zongben Xu , Deyu Meng

A desirable property of an autocovariance estimator is to be robust to the presence of additive outliers. It is well-known that the sample autocovariance, being based on moments, does not have this property. Hence, the use of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-24 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Hélène Boistard , Eric Moulines , Murad S. Taqqu , Valderio A. Reisen

We study random design linear regression with no assumptions on the distribution of the covariates and with a heavy-tailed response variable. In this distribution-free regression setting, we show that boundedness of the conditional second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Jaouad Mourtada , Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Robust and semiparametric statistics are of the same historical origin and largely employ the same locally asymptotically normal framework. In our talk, we consider he following more intrinsic connections of both fields: 1) Robust influence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Helmut Rieder

Recent progress on the theory of variational hypocoercivity established that Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo -- at criticality -- can achieve pronounced acceleration in its convergence and hence sampling performance over diffusive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Stefan Oberdörster

A biomechanical model often requires parameter estimation and selection in a known but complicated nonlinear function. Motivated by observing that data from a head-neck position tracking system, one of biomechanical models, show…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hojun You , Kyubaek Yoon , Wei-Ying Wu , Jongeun Choi , Chae Young Lim

When estimating the risk of a financial position with empirical data or Monte Carlo simulations via a tail-dependent law invariant risk measure such as the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), it is important to ensure the robustness of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-30 Wei Wang , Huifu Xu , Tiejun Ma

By introducing a weight function into the density power divergence, we develop a new class of robust and smooth estimators for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions, offering improved efficiency in the presence of outliers. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-25 Saida Mancer , Abdelhakim Necir , Djamel Meraghni

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

Numerous robust estimators exist as alternatives to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when a completely observed ground-up loss severity sample dataset is available. However, the options for robust alternatives to MLE become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

While robust divergence such as density power divergence and $\gamma$-divergence is helpful for robust statistical inference in the presence of outliers, the tuning parameter that controls the degree of robustness is chosen in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shouto Yonekura
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