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The incidence of rare events in fast-slow systems is investigated via analysis of the large deviation principle (LDP) that characterizes the likelihood and pathway of large fluctuations of the slow variables away from their mean behavior --…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-17 Freddy Bouchet , Tobias Grafke , Tomás Tangarife , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We consider risk-sensitive Markov decision processes (MDPs), where the MDP model is influenced by a parameter which takes values in a compact metric space. We identify sufficient conditions under which small perturbations in the model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Shiping Shao , Abhishek Gupta , William B. Haskell

Possibilistic and qualitative POMDPs (pi-POMDPs) are counterparts of POMDPs used to model situations where the agent's initial belief or observation probabilities are imprecise due to lack of past experiences or insufficient data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Nicolas Drougard , Florent Teichteil-Konigsbuch , Jean-Loup Farges , Didier Dubois

RBM-MPC is a computationally efficient variant of Model Predictive Control (MPC) in which the Random Batch Method (RBM) is used to speed up the finite-horizon optimal control problems at each iteration. In this paper, stability and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Daniël Veldman , Alexandra Borkowski , Enrique Zuazua

We investigate the large deviation principle (LDP) of the stationary solutions of stochastic functional differential equations (SFDEs) with infinite delay under small random perturbation. First, we demonstrate the existence and uniqueness…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Yong Liu , Bin Tang

We establish a moderate deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of the four parameters of a geometrically ergodic Heston process. We also obtain moderate deviations for the maximum likelihood estimator of the couple of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

We establish the moderate deviation principle for the solutions of a class of stochastic partial differential equations with non-Lipschitz continuous coefficients. As an application, we derive the moderate deviation principle for two…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Parisa Fatheddin , Jie Xiong

A common assumption in the fitting of unordered multinomial response models for $J$ mutually exclusive categories is that the responses arise from the same set of $J$ categories across subjects. However, when responses measure a choice made…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Siddhartha Chib , Kenichi Shimizu

We establish a central limit theorem and an invariance principle for stationary random fields, with projective-type conditions. Our result is obtained via an m-dependent approximation method. As applications, we establish invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Yizao Wang , Michael Woodroofe

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

The problem of the estimation of relevance to a set of histograms generated by samples of a discrete time process is discussed on the base of the variational principles proposed in the previous paper [1]. Some conditions for dimension…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-28 M. A. Antonets

We study a class of infinite-horizon average-cost Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) whose reward and transition structures are nearly separable. For the totally separable baseline (that is, with no perturbation), we derive an explicit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Dhairya Kantawala

In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-22 Tamás Biró , Zoltán Néda

We consider a collection of fully coupled weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale environment. We study the moderate deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider a distributionally robust Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (DR-POMDP), where the distribution of the transition-observation probabilities is unknown at the beginning of each decision period, but their realizations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Hideaki Nakao , Ruiwei Jiang , Siqian Shen

Many real-world decision-making problems face the off-dynamics challenge: the agent learns a policy in a source domain and deploys it in a target domain with different state transitions. The distributionally robust Markov decision process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Zhishuai Liu , Pan Xu

Modeling of complex phenomena such as the mind presents tremendous computational complexity challenges. Modeling field theory (MFT) addresses these challenges in a non-traditional way. The main idea behind MFT is to match levels of…

Logic · Mathematics 2010-12-27 Boris Kovalerchuk , Leonid Perlovsky , Gregory Wheeler

This paper is concerned with the general theme of relating the Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the invariant measures of stochastic processes to the associated sample path LDP. It is shown that if the sample path deviation function…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-10 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are an effective way to formally describe many Machine Learning problems. In fact, recently MDPs have also emerged as a powerful framework to model financial trading tasks. For example, financial MDPs can…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Diego Pino , Javier García , Fernando Fernández , Svitlana S Vyetrenko

In this paper, we consider an integrated MSP-MDP framework which captures features of Markov decision process (MDP) and multistage stochastic programming (MSP). The integrated framework allows one to study a dynamic decision-making process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Zhiyao Yang , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu