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In this paper, we develop a non-asymptotic local normal approximation for multinomial probabilities. First, we use it to find non-asymptotic total variation bounds between the measures induced by uniformly jittered multinomials and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet

In this paper we derive a new direct inversion method to simulate squared Bessel processes. Since the transition probability of these processes can be represented by a non-central chi-square distribution, we construct an efficient and…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-24 Simon J. A. Malham , Anke Wiese , Yifan Xu

The purpose of the present paper is to give unified expressions to the characteristic functions of all elliptical and related distributions. Those distributions including the multivariate elliptical symmetric distributions and some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Chuancun Yin , Hua Dong

We derive formulae for some ratios of the Macdonald functions, which are simpler and easier to treat than known formulae. The result gives two applications in probability theory. One is the formula for the L{\'e}vy measure of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-20 Yuji Hamana , Hiroyuki Matsumoto

We consider the classical sequential binary hypothesis testing problem in which there are two hypotheses governed respectively by distributions $P_0$ and $P_1$ and we would like to decide which hypothesis is true using a sequential test. It…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We consider the problem of the construction of the goodness-of-fit tests for diffusion processes with small noise. The basic hypothesis is composite parametric and our goal is to obtain asymptotically distribution free tests. We propose two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Yury A. Kutoyants

We present explicit estimates of right and left tails and exact (up to universal, multiplicative constants) estimates of tails and moments of hitting times of Bessel processes. The latter estimates are obtained from more general estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 W. M. Bednorz , R. M. Łochowski

We determine equivalent conditions between the asymptotic coefficients of the Bessel generating functions of a sequence of probability measures and the asymptotic expected values of power sums when their inputs are sampled from these…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Andrew Yao

Despite the wide usage of parametric point processes in theory and applications, a sound goodness-of-fit procedure to test whether a given parametric model is appropriate for data coming from a self-exciting point processes has been missing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-15 José C. F. Kling , Mathias Vetter

The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

In this paper, we derive tail approximations of integrals of exponential functions of Gaussian random fields with varying mean functions and approximations of the associated point processes. This study is motivated naturally by multiple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Jingchen Liu , Gongjun Xu

Pearson's chi-squared test, from 1900, is the standard statistical tool for "hypothesis testing on distributions": namely, given samples from an unknown distribution $Q$ that may or may not equal a hypothesis distribution $P$, we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Trung Dang , Walter McKelvie , Paul Valiant , Hongao Wang

In statistics permutations typically arise in the context of rank plots for two-dimensional data. Such plots can also be interpreted as discrete copulas. In discrete mathematics, typically in the context of the description of large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-14 L. Baringhaus , R. Grübel

Using a deformed calculus based on the Dunkl operator, two new deformations of Bessel functions are proposed. Some properties i.e. generating function, differential-difference equation, recursive relations, Poisson formula... are also given…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-09-23 Mohammed Brahim Zahaf , Dominique Manchon

Thousands of experiments are analyzed and papers are published each year involving the statistical analysis of grouped data. While this area of statistics is often perceived -- somewhat naively -- as saturated, several misconceptions still…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Sara Algeri , Estate V. Khmaladze

We consider a stationary linear AR($p$) model with observations subject to gross errors (outliers). The autoregression parameters are unknown as well as the distribution and moments of innoovations. The distribution of outliers $\Pi$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-19 Michael Boldin

We consider spatially homogeneous marked point patterns in an unboundedly expanding convex sampling window. Our main objective is to identify the distribution of the typical mark by constructing an asymptotic $\chi^2$-goodness-of-fit test.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Lothar Heinrich , Sebastian Lück , Volker Schmidt

The bivariate Poisson distribution is commonly used to model bivariate count data. In this paper we study a goodness-of-fit test for this distribution. We also provide a review of the existing tests for the bivariate Poisson distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Francisco Novoa-Muñoz

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

Among the various models designed for dependent count data, integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) processes enjoy great popularity. Typically, statistical inference for INAR models uses asymptotic theory that relies on rather stringent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Christian H. Weiß