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Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

Causal effect estimation (CEE) provides a crucial tool for predicting the unobserved counterfactual outcome for an entity. As CEE relaxes the requirement for ``perfect'' counterfactual samples (e.g., patients with identical attributes and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Hechuan Wen , Tong Chen , Guanhua Ye , Li Kheng Chai , Shazia Sadiq , Hongzhi Yin

In modern engineering, physical processes are modelled and analysed using advanced computer simulations, such as finite element models. Furthermore, concepts of reliability analysis and robust design are becoming popular, hence, making…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-20 Roland Schöbi , Bruno Sudret

Global sensitivity analysis is the main quantitative technique for identifying the most influential input variables in a numerical simulation model. In particular when the inputs are independent, Sobol' sensitivity indices attribute a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Sébastien da Veiga

This paper analyzes the effects of input uncertainties on the outputs of a three dimensional natural convection problem in a differentially heated cubical enclosure. Two different cases are considered for parameter uncertainty propagation…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Shantanu Shahane , Narayana R. Aluru , Surya Pratap Vanka

Resilience characterizes a system's ability to retain its original function when perturbations happen. In the past years our attention mainly focused on small-scale resilience, yet our understanding of resilience in large-scale network…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-10-13 Mengbang Zou , Luca Zanotti Fragonara , Weisi Guo

This study demonstrates the capabilities of several methods for analyzing the sensitivity of neural networks to perturbations of the input data and interpreting their underlying mechanisms. The investigated approaches include the Sobol…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Jiaxuan Miao , Sergey Matveev

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have proven efficiency in a number of fields for propagating parametric uncertainties through computational models of complex systems, namely structural and fluid mechanics, chemical reactions and…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-13 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

The growing need for uncertainty analysis of complex computational models has led to an expanding use of meta-models across engineering and sciences. The efficiency of meta-modeling techniques relies on their ability to provide…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Katerina Konakli , Bruno Sudret

This paper presents a simple noise correction method for Sobol' indices estimation. Sobol' indices, especially total Sobol' indices are quite sensitive to the noise in the output and tend to be severly biased (overestimated) if no noise…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-04 Pavel Prikhodko , Nikita Kotlyarov

Global sensitivity analysis aims at measuring the relative importance of different variables or groups of variables for the variability of a quantity of interest. Among several sensitivity indices, so-called Shapley effects have recently…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 Takashi Goda

In this paper we present a basis selection method that can be used with $\ell_1$-minimization to adaptively determine the large coefficients of polynomial chaos expansions (PCE). The adaptive construction produces anisotropic basis sets…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-06-22 John D. Jakeman , Michael S. Eldred , Khachik Sargsyan

This chapter makes a review, in a complete methodological framework, of various global sensitivity analysis methods of model output. Numerous statistical and probabilistic tools (regression, smoothing, tests, statistical learning, Monte…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Bertrand Iooss , Paul Lemaître

In the past decade, Sobol's variance decomposition have been used as a tool - among others - in risk management. We show some links between global sensitivity analysis and stochastic ordering theories. This gives an argument in favor of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Areski Cousin , Alexandre Janon , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Ibrahima Niang

Variance-based Sobol' sensitivity is one of the most well-known measures in global sensitivity analysis (GSA). However, uncertainties with certain distributions, such as highly skewed distributions or those with a heavy tail, cannot be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Jiannan Yang

We present an HSIC-based approach for global sensitivity analysis of broad classes of models with correlated and possibly function-valued inputs and outputs. To this end, we define the total HSIC sensitivity index: a bounded, interpretable,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Troy Larsen , Alen Alexanderian

In the field of uncertainty quantification, sparse polynomial chaos (PC) expansions are commonly used by researchers for a variety of purposes, such as surrogate modeling. Ideas from compressed sensing may be employed to exploit this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 Paul Diaz , Alireza Doostan , Jerrad Hampton

This paper addresses sensitivity analysis for dynamic models, linking dependent inputs to observed outputs. The usual method to estimate Sobol indices are based on the independence of input variables. We present a method to overpass this…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mathilde Grandjacques , Alexandre Janon , Benoit Delinchant , Olivier Adrot

There exist many methods for sensitivity analysis readily available to the practitioner. While each seeks to help the modeler answer the same general question -- How do sources of uncertainty or changes in the model inputs relate to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Devin Francom , Abigael Nachtsheim

Multimodal data provides heterogeneous information for a holistic understanding of the tumor microenvironment. However, existing AI models often struggle to harness the rich information within multimodal data and extract poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Huajun Zhou , Fengtao Zhou , Jiabo Ma , Yingxue Xu , Xi Wang , Xiuming Zhang , Li Liang , Zhenhui Li , Hao Chen