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Reservoir computing is a powerful framework for modeling dynamical systems due to its universality and computational efficiency. However, a major challenge is achieving a forecast with accurate long-time statistics, or climate, which is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-05 Akira Kawano , Ilia Soroka , Greg J. Stephens

In chaotic dynamical systems such as the weather, prediction errors grow faster in some situations than in others. Real-time knowledge about the error growth could enable strategies to adjust the modelling and forecasting infrastructure…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-04-26 Daniel Ayers , Jack Lau , Javier Amezcua , Alberto Carrassi , Varun Ojha

Reservoir computing is a machine learning framework that has been shown to be able to replicate the chaotic attractor, including the fractal dimension and the entire Lyapunov spectrum, of the dynamical system on which it is trained. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Joseph D. Hart

A machine-learning approach called "reservoir computing" has been used successfully for short-term prediction and attractor reconstruction of chaotic dynamical systems from time series data. We present a theoretical framework that describes…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-08-01 Zhixin Lu , Brian R. Hunt , Edward Ott

The prediction of complex nonlinear dynamical systems with the help of machine learning techniques has become increasingly popular. In particular, reservoir computing turned out to be a very promising approach especially for the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-08 Alexander Haluszczynski , Christoph Räth

Reservoir computing systems, a class of recurrent neural networks, have recently been exploited for model-free, data-based prediction of the state evolution of a variety of chaotic dynamical systems. The prediction horizon demonstrated has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Huawei Fan , Junjie Jiang , Chun Zhang , Xingang Wang , Ying-Cheng Lai

Recent theoretical developments of reservoir computing have clarified a sufficient condition about which reservoir computing can capture the dynamics of a target system, enabling the reconstruction of dynamical invariants. Even when the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-19 Miki U. Kobayashi , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki , Natsuki Tsutsumi

Reservoir computing has proven effective for tasks such as time-series prediction, particularly in the context of chaotic systems. However, conventional reservoir computing frameworks often face challenges in achieving high prediction…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-28 Felix Köster , Kazutaka Kanno , Atsushi Uchida

To predict the future evolution of dynamical systems purely from observations of the past data is of great potential application. In this work, a new formulated paradigm of reservoir computing is proposed for achieving model-free…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Zhuo Liu , Leisheng Jin

Understanding and quantifying chaos from data remains challenging. We present a data-driven method for estimating the largest Lyapunov exponent (LLE) from one-dimensional chaotic time series using machine learning. A predictor is trained to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-03 A. Velichko , M. Belyaev , P. Boriskov

This study covers an analytical approach to calculate positively invariant sets of dynamical systems. Using Lyapunov techniques and quantifier elimination methods, an automatic procedure for determining bounds in the state space as an…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2018-08-01 Klaus Röbenack , Rick Voßwinkel , Hendrik Richter

Reservoir computers are powerful tools for chaotic time series prediction. They can be trained to approximate phase space flows and can thus both predict future values to a high accuracy, as well as reconstruct the general properties of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 André Röhm , Daniel J. Gauthier , Ingo Fischer

Drawing on ergodic theory, we introduce a novel training method for machine learning based forecasting methods for chaotic dynamical systems. The training enforces dynamical invariants--such as the Lyapunov exponent spectrum and fractal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Jason A. Platt , Stephen G. Penny , Timothy A. Smith , Tse-Chun Chen , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

The predictability problem for systems with different characteristic time scales is investigated. It is shown that even in simple chaotic dynamical systems, the leading Lyapunov exponent is not sufficient to estimate the predictability…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 G. Boffetta , P. Giuliani , G. Paladin , A. Vulpiani

In this article we study if a Deep Learning technique can be used to obtain an approximated value of the Lyapunov exponents of a dynamical system. Moreover, we want to know if Machine Learning techniques are able, once trained, to provide…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Carmen Mayora-Cebollero , Ana Mayora-Cebollero , Álvaro Lozano , Roberto Barrio

Reservoir computing is a recently introduced machine learning paradigm that has been shown to be well-suited for the processing of spatiotemporal data. Rather than training the network node connections and weights via backpropagation in…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-07-20 Ashley Prater

The applicability of machine learning for predicting chaotic dynamics relies heavily upon the data used in the training stage. Chaotic time series obtained by numerically solving ordinary differential equations embed a complicated noise of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-13 Igor A Khovanov

Reduced-order dynamical models play a central role in developing our understanding of predictability of climate irrespective of whether we are dealing with the actual climate system or surrogate climate-models. In this context, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-11 B. T. Nadiga

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

Reservoir computing is a machine learning paradigm that uses a structure called a reservoir, which has nonlinearities and short-term memory. In recent years, reservoir computing has expanded to new functions such as the autonomous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-05 Kohei Tsuchiyama , André Röhm , Takatomo Mihana , Ryoichi Horisaki , Makoto Naruse
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