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Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande

A function of the empirical characteristic function,exists for the stable distribution, which leads to a linear regression and can be used to estimate the parameters. Two approaches are often used, one to find optimal values of t, but these…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

Stochastic monotonicity is a well known partial order relation between probability measures defined on the same partially ordered set. Strassen Theorem establishes equivalence between stochastic monotonicity and the existence of a coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Davide Gabrielli , Ida Germana Minelli

Let I_1,...,I_n be independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, and let X_n=\sum_{j=1}^nI_j. For \nu in a bounded region, a local central limit theorem expansion of P(X_n=EX_n+\nu) is developed to any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard Arratia , Larry Goldstein , Bryan Langholz

Motivated by networked systems, stochastic control, optimization, and a wide variety of applications, this work is devoted to systems of switching jump diffusions. Treating such nonlinear systems, we focus on stability issues. First…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Zhixin Yang , G. Yin

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

For n>=1 let X_n be a vector of n independent Bernoulli random variables. We assume that X_n consists of M "blocks" such that the Bernoulli random variables in block i have success probability p_i. Here M does not depend on n and the size…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-15 Erik Broman , Tim van de Brug , Wouter Kager , Ronald Meester

In the context of stability of the extremes of a random variable X with respect to a positive integer valued random variable N we discuss the cases (i) X is exponential (ii) non-geometric laws for N (iii) identifying N for the stability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Satheesh , N. U. Nair

This work proposes a mathematical approach that (re)defines a property of Machine Learning models named stability and determines sufficient conditions to validate it. Machine Learning models are represented as functions, and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Gabriel Pedroza

We investigate a family of distributions having a property of stability-under-addition, provided that the number $\nu$ of added-up random variables in the random sum is also a random variable. We call the corresponding property a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-19 L. B. Klebanov , A. V. Kakosyan , S. T. Rachev , G. Temnov

This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker

Let $P_n$ and $Q_n$ be two probability measures representing two different probabilistic models of some system (e.g., an $n$-particle equilibrium system, a set of random graphs with $n$ vertices, or a stochastic process evolving over a time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Hugo Touchette

This paper analyzes the limit properties of the empirical process of $\alpha$-stable random variables with long range dependence. The $\alpha$-stable random variables are constructed by non-linear transformations of bivariate sequences of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Emanuele Taufer

Suppose $(f,\mathcal{X},\nu)$ is a measure preserving dynamical system and $\phi:\mathcal{X}\to\mathbb{R}$ is an observable with some degree of regularity. We investigate the maximum process $M_n:=\max\{X_1,\ldots,X_n\}$, where…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-10-16 M. P. Holland , M. Nicol , A. Török

Let $\Omega$ be a countable infinite product $\Omega^\N$ of copies of the same probability space $\Omega_1$, and let ${\Xi_n}$ be the sequence of the coordinate projection functions from $\Omega$ to $\Omega_1$. Let $\Psi$ be a possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-22 Alexander R. Pruss

Given an observation of the uniform empirical process $\alp_n$, its functional increments $\alp_n(u+a_n\cdot)-\alp_n(u)$ can be viewed as a single random process, when $u$ is distributed under the Lebesgue measure. We investigate the almost…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-27 Davit Varron

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We study nonparametric estimators of conditional Kendall's tau, a measure of concordance between two random variables given some covariates. We prove non-asymptotic bounds with explicit constants, that hold with high probabilities. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

Let $\xi_0,\xi_1,\ldots$ be independent identically distributed complex- valued random variables such that $\mathbb{E}\log(1+|\xi _0|)<\infty$. We consider random analytic functions of the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-25 Zakhar Kabluchko , Dmitry Zaporozhets

Sample average approximation (SAA) is a widely popular approach to data-driven decision-making under uncertainty. Under mild assumptions, SAA is both tractable and enjoys strong asymptotic performance guarantees. Similar guarantees,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus