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Stationarity is a very general, qualitative assumption, that can be assessed on the basis of application specifics. It is thus a rather attractive assumption to base statistical analysis on, especially for problems for which less general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Daniil Ryabko

We develop a theory of estimation when in addition to a sample of $n$ observed outcomes the underlying probabilities of the observed outcomes are known, as is typically the case in the context of numerical simulation modeling, e.g. in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Jobst Heitzig

A confidence distribution is a complete tool for making frequentist inference for a parameter of interest $\psi$ based on an assumed parametric model. Indeed, it allows to reach point estimates, to assess their precision, to set up tests…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-20 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

Let $X$ be a random variable with unknown mean and finite variance. We present a new estimator of the mean of $X$ that is robust with respect to the possible presence of outliers in the sample, provides tight sub-Gaussian deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Stanislav Minsker , Mohamed Ndaoud

We consider the incompressible Euler equations in $R^2$ when the initial vorticity is bounded, radially symmetric and non-increasing in the radial direction. Such a radial distribution is stationary, and we show that the monotonicity…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Kyudong Choi , Deokwoo Lim

We analyse the asymptotic behaviour of the probability of observing the expected number of successes at each stage of a sequence of nested Bernoulli trials. Our motivation is the attempt to give a genuinely frequentist interpretation to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

This paper establishes a formal connection between finite-sample and asymptotically minimax robust hypothesis testing under distributional uncertainty. It is shown that, whenever a finite-sample minimax robust test exists, it coincides with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Gökhan Gül

Many functionals of interest in statistics and machine learning can be written as minimizers of expected loss functions. Such functionals are called $M$-estimands, and can be estimated by $M$-estimators -- minimizers of empirical average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Arunav Bhowmick , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

It is well known that if the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process does not have a compact support, data sampled from that process at any uniform sampling rate leads to biased and inconsistent spectrum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

Robustness of linear systems with constant coefficients is considered. There exist methods and tools for analyzing the stability of systems with random or deterministic uncertainties. At the same time, there are no approaches for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Andrey Tremba

We propose a new asymptotic test to assess the stationarity of a time series' mean that is applicable in the presence of both heteroscedasticity and short-range dependence. Our test statistic is composed of Gini's mean difference of local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Sara Kristin Schmidt

We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

Concentration of measure is a phenomenon in which a random variable that depends in a smooth way on a large number of independent random variables is essentially constant. The random variable will "concentrate" around its median or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Meg Walters

Nonparametric regression problems with qualitative constraints such as monotonicity or convexity are ubiquitous in applications. For example, in predicting the yield of a factory in terms of the number of labor hours, the monotonicity of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Soham Mallick , Siddhaarth Sarkar , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This paper is the first part of a project devoted to studying the interconnection between controllability properties of a dynamical system and the large-time asymptotics of trajectories for the associated stochastic system. It is proved…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-03-07 Armen Shirikyan

Invertibility conditions for observation-driven time series models often fail to be guaranteed in empirical applications. As a result, the asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood and quasi-maximum likelihood estimators may be compromised.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-11 F Blasques , P Gorgi , S Koopman , O Wintenberger

In this paper, we consider the problem of approximating the spectral distribution for a class of random operators over sofic groups. For this purpose, we make use of the concept of locally and empirically converging measures defined by…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Miguel Donoso-Echenique , Felix Pogorzelski , Michael Schrödl-Baumann

This paper investigates the stability of the least squares approximation $P_m^n$ within the univariate polynomial space of degree $m$, denoted by ${\mathbb P}_m$. The approximation $P_m^n$ entails identifying a polynomial in ${\mathbb P}_m$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Zhiqiang Xu , Xinyue Zhang

For a probability distribution $P$ on an at most countable alphabet $\mathcal A$, this article gives finite sample bounds for the expected occupancy counts $\mathbb E K_{n,r}$ and probabilities $\mathbb E M_{n,r}$. Both upper and lower…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Geoffrey Decrouez , Michael Grabchak , Quentin Paris