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We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution function of the event time and a continuous mark variable based on censored data. More specifically, the event time is subject to current status censoring and the continuous mark…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-07 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit Witte

Composite likelihood estimation has an important role in the analysis of multivariate data for which the full likelihood function is intractable. An important issue in composite likelihood inference is the choice of the weights associated…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-15 Davide Ferrari , Chao Zheng

Integral projection models (IPMs) are widely used to study population growth and the dynamics of demographic structure (e.g. age and size distributions) within a population.These models use data on individuals' growth, survival, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Yunzhe Zhou , Giles Hooker

The reasoning performance of large language models (LLMs) can be substantially improved by training them with reinforcement learning (RL). The RL objective for LLM training involves a regularization term, which is the reverse…

We consider model selection in generalized linear models (GLM) for high-dimensional data and propose a wide class of model selection criteria based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size. We derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

We study the problem of maximum likelihood estimation of densities that are log-concave and lie in the graphical model corresponding to a given undirected graph $G$. We show that the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) is the product of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Kaie Kubjas , Olga Kuznetsova , Elina Robeva , Pardis Semnani , Luca Sodomaco

We consider hidden Markov models indexed by a binary tree where the hidden state space is a general metric space. We study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters based only on the observed variables. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Julien Weibel

Orthogonal group synchronization aims to recover orthogonal group elements from their noisy pairwise measurements. It has found numerous applications including computer vision, imaging science, and community detection. Due to the orthogonal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Ziliang Samuel Zhong , Shuyang Ling

This paper proposes a theory for $\ell_1$-norm penalized high-dimensional $M$-estimators, with nonconvex risk and unrestricted domain. Under high-level conditions, the estimators are shown to attain the rate of convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Jad Beyhum , François Portier

We suggest an iterative approach to computing K-step maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of the parametric components in semiparametric models based on their profile likelihoods. The higher order convergence rate of K-step MLE mainly depends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-23 Guang Cheng

Reparameterization (RP) and likelihood ratio (LR) gradient estimators are used to estimate gradients of expectations throughout machine learning and reinforcement learning; however, they are usually explained as simple mathematical tricks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Paavo Parmas , Masashi Sugiyama

Reconstructing gamma-ray spectra from detector measurements is an ill-posed inverse problem. Standard methods, such as Folding Iteration with Compton Subtraction (FICS), provide point estimates but lack calibrated uncertainties and may bias…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-11-24 E. Lima , L. L. Braseth , A. H. Mjøs , M. Hjorth-Jensen , A. Kvellestad , A. C. Larsen

The parameter estimation of unnormalized models is a challenging problem. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is computationally infeasible for these models since normalizing constants are not explicitly calculated. Although some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Masatoshi Uehara , Takafumi Kanamori , Takashi Takenouchi , Takeru Matsuda

We study multivariate Gaussian models that are described by linear conditions on the concentration matrix. We compute the maximum likelihood (ML) degrees of these models. That is, we count the critical points of the likelihood function over…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Carlos Améndola , Lukas Gustafsson , Kathlén Kohn , Orlando Marigliano , Anna Seigal

Maximum likelihood estimation in nonlinear models can exhibit substantial instability in finite samples when the data provide limited information about certain parameters. Such instability is driven by rare but extreme realizations of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Masamune Iwasawa

We study the properties of the MDL (or maximum penalized complexity) estimator for Regression and Classification, where the underlying model class is countable. We show in particular a finite bound on the Hellinger losses under the only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

Many recent successful (deep) reinforcement learning algorithms make use of regularization, generally based on entropy or Kullback-Leibler divergence. We propose a general theory of regularized Markov Decision Processes that generalizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Matthieu Geist , Bruno Scherrer , Olivier Pietquin

Modern machine learning embeddings provide powerful compression of high-dimensional data, yet they typically destroy the geometric structure required for classical likelihood-based statistical inference. This paper develops a rigorous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Deniz Akdemir

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

This work establishes regularity conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality of the multiple parameter maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) from censored data, where the censoring mechanism is in the form of $1$-bit measurements. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Jaimin Shah , Martina Cardone , Cynthia Rush , Alex Dytso