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For a parametric model of distributions, the closest distribution in the model to the true distribution located outside the model is considered. Measuring the closeness between two distributions with the Kullback-Leibler (K-L) divergence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Yo Sheena

High-dimensional prediction is a challenging problem setting for traditional statistical models. Although regularization improves model performance in high dimensions, it does not sufficiently leverage knowledge on feature importances held…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Shouvik Mani , Mehdi Maasoumy , Sina Pakazad , Henrik Ohlsson

Low-complexity non-smooth convex regularizers are routinely used to impose some structure (such as sparsity or low-rank) on the coefficients for linear predictors in supervised learning. Model consistency consists then in selecting the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Jalal Fadili , Guillaume Garrigos , Jérome Malick , Gabriel Peyré

In safety-critical applications a probabilistic model is usually required to be calibrated, i.e., to capture the uncertainty of its predictions accurately. In multi-class classification, calibration of the most confident predictions only is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-30 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

There have been many applications of deep neural networks to detector calibrations and a growing number of studies that propose deep generative models as automated fast detector simulators. We show that these two tasks can be unified by…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-14 Haoxing Du , Claudius Krause , Vinicius Mikuni , Benjamin Nachman , Ian Pang , David Shih

The normalized maximized likelihood (NML) provides the minimax regret solution in universal data compression, gambling, and prediction, and it plays an essential role in the minimum description length (MDL) method of statistical modeling…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-29 Andrew Barron , Teemu Roos , Kazuho Watanabe

Generalized linear mixed models are powerful tools for analyzing clustered data, where the unknown parameters are classically (and most commonly) estimated by the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood procedures. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Andrea M. Bratsberg , Magne Thoresen , Abhik Ghosh

Here, in this paper it has been considered a sub family of exponential family. Maximum likelihood estimations (MLE) for the parameter of this family, probability density function, and cumulative density function based on a sample and based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Saman Hosseini , Parviz Nasiri , Dler Hussein Kadir , Sharad Damodar Gore

In the missing data literature, the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) is celebrated for its ignorability property under missing at random (MAR) data. However, its sensitivity to misspecification of the (complete) data model, even under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Jeffrey Näf

Consider the problem of estimating a weighted average of the means of $n$ strata, based on a random sample with realized $K_i$ observations from stratum $i, \; i=1,...,n$. This task is non-trivial in cases where for a significant portion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Eitan Greenshtein , Ya'acov Ritov

Inspired by the connection between classical regret measures employed in universal prediction and R\'{e}nyi divergence, we introduce a new class of universal predictors that depend on a real parameter $\alpha\geq 1$. This class interpolates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Marco Bondaschi , Michael Gastpar

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

Skew normal mixture models provide a more flexible framework than the popular normal mixtures for modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric behaviors. Due to the unboundedness of likelihood function and the divergency of shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Libin Jin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Lixing Zhu

This paper deals with the problem of estimating predictive densities of a matrix-variate normal distribution with known covariance matrix. Our main aim is to establish some Bayesian predictive densities related to matricial shrinkage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Hisayuki Tsukuma , Tatsuya Kubokawa

This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is the most common approach to quantum state tomography. In this letter, we investigate whether it is also optimal in any sense. We show that MLE is an inadmissible estimator for most of the commonly used…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-08-06 Christopher Ferrie , Robin Blume-Kohout

We study the problem of maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for statistical models defined by reflexive polytopes. Our focus is on the maximum likelihood degree of these models as an algebraic measure of complexity of the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Carlos Améndola , Janike Oldekop

In this work, we investigate Gaussian Mixture Models ({\it abbrv} GMM) and the related problem of non parametric maximum likelihood estimation ({\it abbrv} NPMLE) from the perspective of statistical mechanics. In particular, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Subhroshekhar Ghosh , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Satyaki Mukherjee , Hoang-Son Tran

Objectives: Highly flexible nonparametric estimators have gained popularity in causal inference and epidemiology. Popular examples of such estimators include targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLE) and double machine learning (DML).…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Hongxiang Qiu