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We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

Tensor decomposition is a powerful computational tool for multiway data analysis. Many popular tensor decomposition approaches---such as the Tucker decomposition and CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP)---amount to multi-linear factorization. They are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-01-17 Zenglin Xu , Feng Yan , Yuan , Qi

We develop a Bayesian vector autoregressive (VAR) model with multivariate stochastic volatility that is capable of handling vast dimensional information sets. Three features are introduced to permit reliable estimation of the model. First,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-12 Gregor Kastner , Florian Huber

Tensor decomposition is an effective approach to compress over-parameterized neural networks and to enable their deployment on resource-constrained hardware platforms. However, directly applying tensor compression in the training process is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Cole Hawkins , Zheng Zhang

This article introduces a novel dynamic framework to Bayesian model averaging for time-varying parameter quantile regressions. By employing sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo, we combine empirical estimates derived from dynamically chosen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Mauro Bernardi , Roberto Casarin , Bertrand Maillet , Lea Petrella

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

All neuroimaging modalities have their own strengths and limitations. A current trend is toward interdisciplinary approaches that use multiple imaging methods to overcome limitations of each method in isolation. At the same time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-30 Pratim Guha Niyogi , Martin A. Lindquist , Tapabrata Maiti

We develop a Bayesian non-parametric quantile panel regression model. Within each quantile, the response function is a convex combination of a linear model and a non-linear function, which we approximate using Bayesian Additive Regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-08 Todd E. Clark , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer

Variable selection is an important statistical problem. This problem becomes more challenging when the candidate predictors are of mixed type (e.g. continuous and binary) and impact the response variable in nonlinear and/or non-additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Chuji Luo , Michael J. Daniels

This work considers a computationally and statistically efficient parameter estimation method for a wide class of latent variable models---including Gaussian mixture models, hidden Markov models, and latent Dirichlet allocation---which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-17 Anima Anandkumar , Rong Ge , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Matus Telgarsky

Reduced-rank regressions are powerful tools used to identify co-movements within economic time series. However, this task becomes challenging when we observe matrix-valued time series, where each dimension may have a different co-movement…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-12 Alain Hecq , Ivan Ricardo , Ines Wilms

It has become routine to collect data that are structured as multiway arrays (tensors). There is an enormous literature on low rank and sparse matrix factorizations, but limited consideration of extensions to the tensor case in statistics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-10 Jing Zhou , Anirban Bhattacharya , Amy Herring , David Dunson

We develop a new methodology for forecasting matrix-valued time series with historical matrix data and auxiliary vector time series data. We focus on a time series of matrices defined on a static 2-D spatial grid and an auxiliary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Hu Sun , Zuofeng Shang , Yang Chen

Regression plays a key role in many research areas and its variable selection is a classic and major problem. This study emphasizes cost of predictors to be purchased for future use, when we select a subset of them. Its economic aspect is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-19 Steven N. MacEachern , Koji Miyawaki

We propose a Bayesian tensor-on-tensor regression approach to predict a multidimensional array (tensor) of arbitrary dimensions from another tensor of arbitrary dimensions, building upon the Tucker decomposition of the regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a powerful statistical model that leverages the strengths of Bayesian inference and regression trees. It has received significant attention for capturing complex non-linear relationships and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Seokhun Park , Insung Kong , Yongdai Kim

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

Regression analysis is a key area of interest in the field of data analysis and machine learning which is devoted to exploring the dependencies between variables, often using vectors. The emergence of high dimensional data in technologies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-23 Jiani Liu , Ce Zhu , Zhen Long , Yipeng Liu

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a flexible prediction model/machine learning approach that has gained widespread popularity in recent years. As BART becomes more mainstream, there is an increased need for a paper that walks…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-18 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Jason Roy

This paper proposes a new methodological framework for estimating inferential models with latent variables. It also introduces a new latent variable regression model called LARX: an extension of the ubiquitous autoregressive model with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-09 Daniil Bargman