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We theoretically analyze the problem of testing for $p$-hacking based on distributions of $p$-values across multiple studies. We provide general results for when such distributions have testable restrictions (are non-increasing) under the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-13 Graham Elliott , Nikolay Kudrin , Kaspar Wuthrich

Although numerous algorithms have been proposed to solve the categorical data clustering problem, how to access the statistical significance of a set of categorical clusters remains unaddressed. To fulfill this void, we employ the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Lianyu Hu , Mudi Jiang , Yan Liu , Zengyou He

Rerandomization enforces covariate balance across treatment groups in the design stage of experiments. Despite its intuitive appeal, its theoretical justification remains unsatisfying because its benefits of improving efficiency for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Xin Lu , Peng Ding

Researchers now routinely use AI or other machine learning methods to estimate latent variables of economic interest, then plug-in the estimates as covariates in a regression. We show both theoretically and empirically that naively treating…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-01 Laura Battaglia , Timothy Christensen , Stephen Hansen , Szymon Sacher

It is quite common in modern research, for a researcher to test many hypotheses. The statistical (frequentist) hypothesis testing framework, does not scale with the number of hypotheses in the sense that naively performing many hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-26 Jonathan Rosenblatt

We introduce a method for calculating \(p\)-values to test causal hypotheses in qualitative research \emph{a la} process tracing. As in an experiment, our \(p\)-value tells us how often one would make the same or more compelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Matias Lopez , Jake Bowers

After some general remarks about the interrelation between philosophical and statistical thinking, the discussion centres largely on significance tests. These are defined as the calculation of $p$-values rather than as formal procedures for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Deborah G. Mayo , D. R. Cox

We study the properties of several likelihood-based statistics commonly used in testing for the presence of a known signal under a mixture model with known background, but unknown signal fraction. Under the null hypothesis of no signal, all…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-26 Igor Volobouev , A. Alexandre Trindade

Let $(X,Y)$ be a random variable consisting of an observed feature vector $X\in \mathcal{X}$ and an unobserved class label $Y\in \{1,2,...,L\}$ with unknown joint distribution. In addition, let $\mathcal{D}$ be a training data set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-26 Lutz Duembgen , Bernd-Wolfgang Igl , Axel Munk

We introduce equivalence testing procedures for linear regression analyses. Such tests can be very useful for confirming the lack of a meaningful association between a continuous outcome and a continuous or binary predictor. Specifically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-17 Harlan Campbell

Pearson's correlation is among the mostly widely reported measures of association. The strength of the statistical evidence for linear association is determined by the p-value of a hypothesis test. If the true distribution of a dataset is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Marc Jaffrey , Michael Dushkoff

Methods of merging several p-values into a single p-value are important in their own right and widely used in multiple hypothesis testing. This paper is the first to systematically study the admissibility (in Wald's sense) of p-merging…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Vladimir Vovk , Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang

Conformal inference is a fundamental and versatile tool that provides distribution-free guarantees for many machine learning tasks. We consider the transductive setting, where decisions are made on a test sample of $m$ new points, giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Ulysse Gazin , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Replicability analysis aims to identify the findings that replicated across independent studies that examine the same features. We provide powerful novel replicability analysis procedures for two studies for FWER and for FDR control on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-01 Marina Bogomolov , Ruth Heller

We put forward an adaptive alpha (Type I Error) that decreases as the information grows, for hypothesis tests in which nested linear models are compared. A less elaborate adaptation was already presented in \citet{PP2014} for comparing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 D. Vélez , M. E. Pérez , L. R. Pericchi

In scientific inference problems, the underlying statistical modeling assumptions have a crucial impact on the end results. There exist, however, only a few automatic means for validating these fundamental modelling assumptions. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Andreas Svensson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica , Thomas B. Schön

The goal of this paper is to provide a theory linear regression based entirely on approximations. It will be argued that the standard linear regression model based theory whether frequentist or Bayesian has failed and that this failure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Laurie Davies

In this paper, we demonstrate that a new measure of evidence we developed called the Dempster-Shafer p-value which allow for insights and interpretations which retain most of the structure of the p-value while covering for some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-28 Kentaro Hoffman , Kai Zhang , Tyler McCormick , Jan Hannig

Missing values are largely inevitable in gene expression microarray studies. Data sets often have significant omissions due to individuals dropping out of experiments, errors in data collection, image corruptions, and so on. Missing data…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-18 Marie Li

Statistical methods are indispensable to scientific inference. However, there exists a longstanding tension across a wide range of scientific disciplines about the role that ``context'' should play in the application of statistical methods…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-06 Ashley I Naimi