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We consider multi-state capture-recapture-recovery data where observed individuals are recorded in a set of possible discrete states. Traditionally, the Arnason-Schwarz model has been fitted to such data where the state process is modeled…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-20 Ruth King , Roland Langrock

We consider the first exit time of a Shiryaev-Roberts diffusion with constant positive drift from the interval $[0,A]$ where $A>0$. We show that the moment generating function (Laplace transform) of a suitably standardized version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We consider the exit problem for a one-dimensional system with random switching near an unstable equilibrium point of the averaged drift. In the infinite switching rate limit, we show that the exit time satisfies a limit theorem with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Yuri Bakhtin , Alexisz Gaál

For both Levy flight and Levy walk search processes we analyse the full distribution of first-passage and first-hitting (or first-arrival) times. These are, respectively, the times when the particle moves across a point at some given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-15 V. V. Palyulin , G. Blackburn , M. A. Lomholt , N. W. Watkins , R. Metzler , R. Klages , A. V. Chechkin

This paper investigates the exit-time problem for time-inhomogeneous diffusion processes. The focus is on the small-noise behavior of the exit time from a bounded positively invariant domain. We demonstrate that, when the drift and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Ashot Aleksian , Stéphane Villeneuve

Density dependent Markov population processes in large populations of size $N$ were shown by Kurtz (1970, 1971) to be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-15 A. D. Barbour , Kais Hamza , Haya Kaspi , Fima Klebaner

This paper presents a set of results relating to the occupation time $\alpha(t)$ of a process $X(\cdot)$. The first set of results concerns exact characterizations of $\alpha(t)$ for $t\geq0$, e.g., in terms of its transform up to an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-03 N. J. Starreveld , R. Bekker , M. Mandjes

Consider a system of interacting particles indexed by the nodes of a graph whose vertices are equipped with marks representing parameters of the model such as the environment or initial data. Each particle takes values in a countable state…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Ankan Ganguly , Kavita Ramanan

We determine the full distribution and moments of the first passage time for a wide class of stochastic search processes in the limit of frequent stochastic resetting. Our results apply to any system whose short-time behavior of the search…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-22 Samantha Linn , Sean D Lawley

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density Q_t of the first exit time from a bounded interval [-L,L] for a stochastic non-Markovian process h(t) describing fluctuations at a given point of a two-dimensional, infinite in both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-01-28 G. Oshanin

Integrate and fire oscillators are widely used to model the generation of action potentials in neurons. In this paper, we discuss small noise asymptotic results for a class of stochastic integrate and fire oscillators (SIFs) in which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-22 Peter Baxendale , John Mayberry

In this work we give a complete description to the asymptotic behaviors of exponential functionals of L\'evy processes and divide them into five different types according to their convergence rates. Not only their exact convergence speeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Zenghu Li , Wei Xu

In the face of the upcoming 30th anniversary of econophysics, we review our contributions and other related works on the modeling of the long-range memory phenomenon in physical, economic, and other social complex systems. Our group has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-31 Rytis Kazakevicius , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Bronislovas Kaulakys , Vygintas Gontis

In this paper, we propose a shot noise-based leaky integrated and firing neuron model and provide a detailed analysis of the performance of this model compared to the traditional diffusion approximated model. In theoretical neuroscience,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-05 Zihao Xu

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are versatile models for anomalous diffusion processes that have found widespread application in the quantitative sciences. Their scaling limits are typically non-Markovian, and the computation of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-25 Mark M. Meerschaert , Peter Straka

We mainly study global in-time asymptotic behavior for the nonlocal reaction-diffusion system with fractional Laplacians which models dispersal of individuals between two exchanging environments for its diffusive components and incorporates…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Wenhui Chen , Xiaolin Li , Yan Liu

We present a finite-time framework for identifying stable and unstable linear time-invariant (LTI) systems from a single closed-loop input-output trajectory. The method does not require knowledge of the stabilizing controller, an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Ahmad Al-Tawaha , Ming Jin , Khaled F. Aljanaideh

In this paper, we consider a class of inhomogeneous semi-Markov processes directly based on intensity processes for marked point processes. We show that this class satisfies the semi-Markov properties defined elsewhere in the literature. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Alexander Sokol

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components, both in discrete and continuous time. Each component is represented by a point process indicating if it has a spike or not at a given…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-24 A. Galves , E. Löcherbach

The Network of Noisy Leaky Integrate and Fire (NNLIF) model describes the behavior of a neural network at mesoscopic level. It is one of the simplest self-contained mean-field models considered for that purpose. Even so, to study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-15 María J. Cáceres , Ricarda Schneider