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Recent numerical results point to the existence of a conformally invariant twist defect in the critical 3d Ising model. In this note we show that this fact is supported by both epsilon expansion and conformal bootstrap calculations. We find…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-17 Davide Gaiotto , Dalimil Mazac , Miguel F. Paulos

Traditional inference in cointegrating regressions requires tuning parameter choices to estimate a long-run variance parameter. Even in case these choices are "optimal", the tests are severely size distorted. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-10 Karsten Reichold , Carsten Jentsch

In this paper we present a technique for using the bootstrap to estimate the operating characteristics and their variability for certain types of ensemble methods. Bootstrapping a model can require a huge amount of work if the training data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Anthony Gamst , Jay-Calvin Reyes , Alden Walker

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

We discuss unbiased estimation equations in a class of objective function using a monotonically increasing function $f$ and Bregman divergence. The choice of the function $f$ gives desirable properties such as robustness against outliers.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-26 Masahiro Kobayashi , Kazuho Watanabe

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

Out-of-bag error is commonly used as an estimate of generalisation error in ensemble-based learning models such as random forests. We present confidence intervals for this quantity using the delta-method-after-bootstrap and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-28 Samyak Rajanala , Stephen Bates , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

Bootstrap methods are increasingly accepted as one of the common approaches in constructing confidence intervals in bibliometric studies. Typical bootstrap methods assume that the statistical population is infinite. When the statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-17 Tina Nane , Kasper Kooijman

Multivariable predictive models are important statistical tools for providing synthetic diagnosis and prognostic algorithms based on multiple patients' characteristics. Their apparent discriminant and calibration measures usually have…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-14 Katsuhiro Iba , Tomohiro Shinozaki , Kazushi Maruo , Hisashi Noma

Obtaining reliable inferences with traditional difference-in-differences (DiD) methods can be difficult. Problems can arise when both outcomes and errors are serially correlated, when there are few clusters or few treated clusters, when…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Sunny R. Karim , Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , James G. MacKinnon , Matthew D. Webb

We discuss a method for correcting the bias in the limits for small signals if those limits were found based on cuts that were chosen by minimizing a criterion such as sensitivity. Such a bias is commonly present when a "minimization" and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-07 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez

Small area estimation has received enormous attention in recent years due to its wide range of application, particularly in policy making decisions. The variance based on direct sample size of small area estimator is unduly large and there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti

An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the bias of estimators due to the ever-increasing data size and model complexity. Approximate numerical methods and data features like censoring and misclassification often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Yuming Zhang

Variational inference is a general approach for approximating complex density functions, such as those arising in latent variable models, popular in machine learning. It has been applied to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Yen-Chi Chen , Y. Samuel Wang , Elena A. Erosheva

Conformal regression provides prediction intervals with global coverage guarantees, but often fails to capture local error distributions, leading to non-homogeneous coverage. We address this with a new adaptive method based on rescaling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Nicolas Deutschmann , Mattia Rigotti , Maria Rodriguez Martinez

Deep neural networks often make decisions based on the spurious correlations inherent in the dataset, failing to generalize in an unbiased data distribution. Although previous approaches pre-define the type of dataset bias to prevent the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Eungyeup Kim , Jihyeon Lee , Jaegul Choo

Imbalances in covariates between treatment groups are frequent in observational studies and can lead to biased comparisons. Various adjustment methods can be employed to correct these biases in the context of multi-level treatments ($>$ 2).…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-04 Diop S. Arona , Duchesne Thierry , Cumming Steven , Diop Awa , Talbot Denis

While batching methods have been widely used in simulation and statistics, it is open regarding their higher-order coverage behaviors and whether one variant is better than the others in this regard. We develop techniques to obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Shengyi He , Henry Lam

This article establishes novel strong uniform laws of large numbers for randomly weighted sums such as bootstrap means. By leveraging recent advances, these results extend previous work in their general applicability to a wide range of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Neil A. Spencer , Jeffrey W. Miller

We study the properties of a leave-node-out jackknife procedure for network data. Under the sparse graphon model, we prove an Efron-Stein-type inequality, showing that the network jackknife leads to conservative estimates of the variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Qiaohui Lin , Robert Lunde , Purnamrita Sarkar
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