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The Brexit referendum took place in the UK in June, 2016. The unweighted percentage of leavers over the whole population was 51.9%. In this paper, first, we demonstrate that a 52%-48% split represents only a difference that is not…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-10 Nicholas Donaldson , Nora Donaldson , Grace Yang

A desire to understand the decision of the UK to leave the European Union, Brexit, in the referendum of June 2016 has continued to occupy academics, the media and politicians. Using topological data analysis ball mapper we extract…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-10 Pawel Dlotko , Lucy Minford , Simon Rudkin , Wanling Qiu

On 23rd June 2016, 51.9% of British voters voted to leave the European Union, triggering a process and events that have led to the United Kingdom leaving the EU, an event that has become known as 'Brexit'. In this piece of research, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-13 Michael Filletti

The purpose of this paper is to use the votes cast at the 2019 European elections held in United Kingdom to re-visit the analysis conducted subsequent to its 2016 European Union referendum vote. This exercise provides a staging post on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-22 Stephen Clark

Debates on an EU-leaving referendum arose in several member states after Brexit. We want to highlight how the exit of an additional country affects the power distribution in the Council of the European Union. We inspect the power indices of…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-10 Dóra Gréta Petróczy , Mark Francis Rogers , László Á. Kóczy

Since the result of the 2016 referendum, Brexit has been an unpredictable democratic adventure, the finale of which remains unclear. This year, in the final days of March, parliamentarians seized control of the order paper from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-04 Thomas Sayer

The British party system is known for its discipline and cohesion, but it remains wedged on one issue: European integration. We offer a methodology using social network analysis that considers the individual interactions of MPs in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-05 Carla Intal , Taha Yasseri

In times marked by political turbulence and uncertainty, as well as increasing divisiveness and hyperpartisanship, Governments need to use every tool at their disposal to understand and respond to the concerns of their citizens. We study…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Bertie Vidgen , Taha Yasseri

This work is produced by researchers at the Neuropolitics Research Lab, School of Social and Political Science and the School of Informatics at the University of Edinburgh. In this report we provide an analysis of the social media posts on…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-08 Laura Cram , Clare Llewellyn , Robin Hill , Walid Magdy

Social media provides many opportunities to monitor and evaluate political phenomena such as referendums and elections. In this study, we propose a set of approaches to analyze long-running political events on social media with a real-world…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Emre Calisir , Marco Brambilla

Nowadays users get informed and shape their opinion through social media. However, the disintermediated access to contents does not guarantee quality of information. Selective exposure and confirmation bias, indeed, have been shown to play…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-24 Michela Del Vicario , Fabiana Zollo , Guido Caldarelli , Antonio Scala , Walter Quattrociocchi

Societal debates and political outcomes are subject to news and social media influences, which are in turn subject to commercial and other forces. Local press are in decline, creating a ``news gap''. Research shows a contrary relationship…

Brexit and its implications are an ongoing topic of interest since the Brexit referendum in 2016. In 2019 the House of commons held a number of "indicative" and "meaningful" votes as part of the Brexit approval process. The voting behaviour…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Marco Berrettini , Giuliano Galimberti , Saverio Ranciati , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Bots are social media accounts that automate interaction with other users, and they are active on the StrongerIn-Brexit conversation happening over Twitter. These automated scripts generate content through these platforms and then interact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-22 Philip N. Howard , Bence Kollanyi

Political polarisation on structured discussion platforms such as Reddit differs fundamentally from that on broadcast platforms such as Twitter/X, yet most prior work targets the latter. We present an end-to-end framework for measuring and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Duy Khuu , Andrew Law , Christine Largeron

A mathematical analysis of the distribution of voting power in the Council of the European Union operating according to the Treaty of Lisbon is presented. We study the effects of Brexit on the voting power of the remaining members, measured…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-02 Werner Kirsch , Wojciech Słomczyński , Dariusz Stolicki , Karol Życzkowski

We study some problems of collective choice when individuals can have expressive preferences, that is, where a decision-maker may care not only about the material benefit from choosing an action but also about some intrinsic morality of the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-23 Anindya Bhattacharya , Debapriya Sen

Elections involving a very large voter population often lead to outcomes that surprise many. This is particularly important for the elections in which results affect the economy of a sizable population. A better prediction of the true…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Palash Dey , Pravesh K. Kothari , Swaprava Nath

We perform stochastic microsimulations of the dynamics of England and Wales population after the British referendum on EU membership, considering different possible outcomes. Employing available survey data, we model the demographics of the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-24 Agnieszka Werpachowska , Roman Werpachowski

In 2016, United Kingdom (UK) citizens voted to leave the European Union (EU), which was officially implemented in 2020. During this period, UK residents experienced a great deal of uncertainty around the UK's continued relationship with the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Sean-Kelly Palicki , Shereen Fouad , Mariam Adedoyin-Olowe , Zahraa S. Abdallah
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