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Related papers: Random Coin Tossing with unknown bias

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We study a game where one player selects a random function, and the other has to guess that function, and show that with high probability the second player can correctly guess most of the random function. We apply this analysis to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Catherine Rainer , Eilon Solan

We consider a problem of guessing, wherein an adversary is interested in knowing the value of the realization of a discrete random variable $X$ on observing another correlated random variable $Y$. The adversary can make multiple (say, $k$)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Gowtham R. Kurri , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar

We show that the rare events present in dissipated work that enters Jarzynski equality, when mapped appropriately to the phenomenon of large deviations found in a biased coin toss, are enough to yield a quantitative work probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Arnab Saha , Sagar Chakraborty , Jayanta K. Bhattacharjee

We count the number and patterns of pairs and tuples of independent events in a simple random experiment: first a fair coin is flipped and then a fair die is tossed. The first number, equal to 888,888, suggest that there are some open…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Isaac M. Sonin

We give an algorithm A which assigns probabilities to logical sentences. For any simple infinite sequence of sentences whose truth-values appear indistinguishable from a biased coin that outputs "true" with probability p, we have that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-13 Scott Garrabrant , Siddharth Bhaskar , Abram Demski , Joanna Garrabrant , George Koleszarik , Evan Lloyd

A sequence of spin-1/2 particles polarised in one of two possible directions is presented to an experimenter, who can wager in a double-or-nothing game on the outcomes of measurements in freely chosen polarisation directions. Wealth is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-08-03 Bernhard K Meister , Henry C W Price

Coin-flipping is a fundamental cryptographic task where a spatially separated Alice and Bob wish to generate a fair coin-flip over a communication channel. It is known that ideal coin-flipping is impossible in both classical and quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 Jamie Sikora , John H. Selby

In the paper it is proven that the two-players turn-based stochastic game "Risk or Safety" has a unique solution. Both players need to play the same strategy if they want to maximize their winning chances. An analytical method based on the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Rüdiger Jehn

For sequential betting games, Kelly's theory, aimed at maximization of the logarithmic growth of one's account value, involves optimization of the so-called betting fraction $K$. In this Letter, we extend the classical formulation to allow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Joseph D. O'Brien , Kevin Burke , Mark E. Burke , B. Ross Barmish

We analyze a coin-based game with two players where, before starting the game, each player selects a string of length $n$ comprised of coin tosses. They alternate turns, choosing the outcome of a coin toss according to specific rules. As a…

All proper scoring rules incentivize an expert to predict \emph{accurately} (report their true estimate), but not all proper scoring rules equally incentivize \emph{precision}. Rather than treating the expert's belief as exogenously given,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Eric Neyman , Georgy Noarov , S. Matthew Weinberg

We suggest that one individual holds multiple degrees of belief about an outcome, given the evidence. We then investigate the implications of such noisy probabilities for a buyer and a seller of binary options and find the odds agreed upon…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2018-12-03 Ulrik W. Nash

In this letter we present the first implementation of a quantum coin tossing protocol. This protocol belongs to a class of ``two-party'' cryptographic problems, where the communication partners distrust each other. As with a number of such…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-02-11 G. Molina-Terriza , A. Vaziri , R. Ursin , A. Zeilinger

A coin is just a two sided dice. Recently, Mochon proved that quantum weak coin flipping with an arbitrarily small bias is possible. However, the use of quantum resources to allow N remote distrustful parties to roll an N-sided dice has yet…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-08-20 N. Aharon , J. Silman

This work performs an experimental evaluation of four asynchronous binary Byzantine consensus algorithms [11,16,18] in various configurations. In addition to being asynchronous these algorithms run in rounds, tolerate up to one third of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Tyler Crain

Algorithms for computing equilibria, optima, and fixed points in nonconvex problems often depend sensitively on practitioner-chosen initial conditions. When uniqueness of a solution is of interest, a common heuristic is to run such…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-17 Moeen Nehzati , Diego Cussen

We provide a mechanism that uses two biased coins and implements any distribution on a finite set of elements, in such a way that even if the outcomes of one of the coins is determined by an adversary, the final distribution remains…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Eilon Solan , Omri Nisan Solan , Ron Solan

We investigate coin-flipping protocols for multiple parties in a quantum broadcast setting: (1) We propose and motivate a definition for quantum broadcast. Our model of quantum broadcast channel is new. (2) We discovered that quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-17 Andris Ambainis , Harry Buhrman , Yevgeniy Dodis , Hein Roehrig

Consider the following probability puzzle: A fair coin is flipped n times. For each HT in the resulting sequence, Bob gets a point, and for each HH Alice gets a point. Who is more likely to win? We provide a proof that Bob wins more often…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Simon Segert

We consider a large community of individuals who mix strongly and meet in pairs to bet on a coin toss. We investigate the asset distribution of the players involved in this zero-sum repeated game. Our main result is that the asset…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-13 Romulus Breban
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