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Related papers: Ruin probability for discrete risk processes

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This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

We consider a surplus process of drifted fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H>1/2$, which appears as a functional limit of drifted compound Poisson risk models with correlated claims, and this is a kind of representation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Shota Nakamura , Yasutaka Shimizu

We prove that a large class of discrete-time insurance surplus processes converge weakly to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, under a suitable re-normalization and when the time-step goes to 0. Motivated by ruin theory, we use this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Yuchao Dong , Jérôme Spielmann

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

Let $\left\{\sum_{i=1}^n \lambda_i X_i(t), t\in [0,T]\right\}$ be an aggregate Gaussian risk process with $X_i, i\leq n$ independent Gaussian processes satisfying Piterbarg conditions and $\lambda_i$'s given positive weights. In this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Zhongquan Tan

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ross A. Maller

Given a Gaussian risk process $R(t)=u+c(t)-X(t),t\ge 0$, the cumulative Parisian ruin probability on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ with respect to $L \geq 0$ is defined as the probability that the sojourn time that the risk process $R$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

We study downward deviations of the maximum local time of the discrete-time simple random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\ge 3$. In our previous paper \cite{li2026ldmaxlocal}, the corresponding upper bound was established, while the matching…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Xinyi Li , Yushu Zheng

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Hailiang Yang , Yildiray Yildirim

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo

We consider a dual risk model with constant expense rate and i.i.d. exponentially distributed gains $C_i$ ($i=1,2,\dots$) that arrive according to a renewal process with general interarrival times. We add to this classical dual risk model…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Onno Boxma , Esther Frostig , Zbigniew Palmowski

This survey treats the problem of ruin in a risk model when assets earn investment income. In addition to a general presentation of the problem, topics covered are a presentation of the relevant integro-differential equations, exact and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Jostein Paulsen

We consider reversible random walks in random environment obtained from symmetric long--range jump rates on a random point process. We prove almost sure transience and recurrence results under suitable assumptions on the point process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-30 P. Caputo , A. Faggionato , A. Gaudilliere

The laws of chance are often subtle and deceptive. This is why games of chance work. People are convinced that they obey seemingly intuitive laws, while the underlying mathematical structure reveals a different and more complex reality.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Paolo Bartesaghi

In this paper, we set up the distribution function $$ \varphi(u)=\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{n\geqslant 1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_i-\kappa\right)<u\right), $$ and the generating function of $\varphi(u+1)$, where $u\in\mathbb{N}_0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Simonas Gervė , Andrius Grigutis

Continuous time random Walk model has been versatile analytical formalism for studying and modeling diffusion processes in heterogeneous structures, such as disordered or porous media. We are studying the continuous limits of Heterogeneous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-23 Liubov Tupikina

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen