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Because of their tractability and their natural interpretations in term of market quantities, Hawkes processes are nowadays widely used in high-frequency finance. However, in practice, the statistical estimation results seem to show that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this work, we present a continuous-time large-population game for modeling market microstructure betweentwo consecutive trades. The proposed modeling framework is inspired by our previous work [23]. In this framework, the Limit Order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-21 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

In this paper, we study law of large numbers, central limit theorem, large and moderate deviations for INAR($\infty$) processes, which as a special case, includes both discrete-time linear Hawkes process and INAR(1) process in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Nian Yao

A limit order book provides information on available limit order prices and their volumes. Based on these quantities, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity balance and trade sign and we show that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-09 Ban Zheng , Eric Moulines , Frédéric Abergel

We propose a parametric model for the simulation of limit order books. We assume that limit orders, market orders and cancellations are submitted according to point processes with state-dependent intensities. We propose new functional forms…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ioane Muni Toke , Nakahiro Yoshida

High frequency financial data is burdened by a level of randomness that is unavoidable and obfuscates the task of modelling. This idea is reflected in the intraday evolution of limit orders book data for many financial assets and suggests…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-15 Myles Sjogren , Timothy DeLise

We present a measurement of price impact in order-driven markets that does not require averages across executions or scenarios. Given the order book data associated with one single execution of a sell metaorder, we measure its contribution…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-24 Claudio Bellani , Damiano Brigo , Mikko Pakkanen , Leandro Sanchez-Betancourt

The distribution of liquidity within the limit order book is essential for the impact of market orders on the stock price and the emergence of price shocks. Limit orders are characterized by stylized facts: The number of inserted limit…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-25 Sebastian M. Krause , Edgar Jungblut , Thomas Guhr

Conventional models of matching markets assume that monetary transfers can clear markets by compensating for utility differentials. However, empirical patterns show that such transfers often fail to close structural preference gaps. This…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Yao Wu

In a discrete-time setting, we consider an arrival process $\left\{\xi_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots \right\}$, which models the occurrence of events, and a corresponding point process $\left\{H_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Utpal Jyoti Deba Sarma , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu

In this study, we introduce a physical model inspired by statistical physics for predicting price volatility and expected returns by leveraging Level 3 order book data. By drawing parallels between orders in the limit order book and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Haochen Li , Yi Cao , Maria Polukarov , Carmine Ventre

We propose a Hybrid High-Order (HHO) formulation of the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations with variable density that provides exact conservation of volume and, accordingly, pure advection of the density variable. The spatial…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-14 Lorenzo Botti , Francesco Carlo Massa

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

We study the optimal Market Making problem in a Limit Order Book (LOB) market simulated using a high-fidelity, mutually exciting Hawkes process. Departing from traditional Brownian-driven mid-price models, our setup captures key…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-03 Konark Jain , Nick Firoozye , Jonathan Kochems , Philip Treleaven

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 E. Bacry , J. F Muzy

We show that wealth processes in the block-shaped order book model of Obizhaeva/Wang converge to their counterparts in the reduced-form model proposed by Almgren/Chriss, as the resilience of the order book tends to infinity. As an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-26 Jan Kallsen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

A novel high-frequency market-making approach in discrete time is proposed that admits closed-form solutions. By taking advantage of demand functions that are linear in the quoted bid and ask spreads with random coefficients, we model the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-21 Jonathan Chávez-Casillas , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu , Yi Zhang

This paper introduces a jump-diffusion pricing model specifically designed for algorithmic trading and high-frequency trading (HFT). The model incorporates independent jump and diffusion processes, providing a more precise representation of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-05 Luca Lalor , Anatoliy Swishchuk

We analyze an optimal trade execution problem in a financial market with stochastic liquidity. To this end we set up a limit order book model in which both order book depth and resilience evolve randomly in time. Trading is allowed in both…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Julia Ackermann , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

We provide an explicit characterization of the optimal market making strategy in a discrete-time Limit Order Book (LOB). In our model, the number of filled orders during each period depends linearly on the distance between the fundamental…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Agostino Capponi , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu
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