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In this paper, we study various new Hawkes processes. Specifically, we construct general compound Hawkes processes and investigate their properties in limit order books. With regards to these general compound Hawkes processes, we prove a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-07 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Aiden Huffman

Order positions are key variables in algorithmic trading. This paper studies the limiting behavior of order positions and related queues in a limit order book. In addition to the fluid and diffusion limits for the processes, fluctuations of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-14 Xin Guo , Zhao Ruan , Lingjiong Zhu

We prove a law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem for multivariate Hawkes processes observed over a time interval $[0,T]$ in the limit $T \rightarrow \infty$. We further exhibit the asymptotic behaviour of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-07 Emmanuel Bacry , Sylvain Delattre , Marc Hoffmann , Jean François Muzy

Accurately forecasting the direction of financial returns poses a formidable challenge, given the inherent unpredictability of financial time series. The task becomes even more arduous when applied to cryptocurrency returns, given the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Filippo Barchi , Riccardo Busetto , Daniele Marazzina , Simone Formentin

One popular approach to model the limit order books dynamics of the best bid and ask at level-1 is to use the reduced-form diffusion approximations. It is well known that the biggest contributing factor to the price movement is the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-13 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

The Hawkes process is a self-exciting sample point process. It has wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. With the development of storage technology, data-driven models are attracting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

In this paper we propose a dynamic model of Limit Order Book (LOB). The main feature of our model is that the shape of the LOB is determined endogenously by an expected utility function via a competitive equilibrium argument. Assuming zero…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-23 Jin Ma , Xinyang Wang , Jianfeng Zhang

We propose a limit order book (LOB) model with dynamics that account for both the impact of the most recent order and the shape of the LOB. We present an empirical analysis showing that the type of the last order significantly alters the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Federico Gonzalez , Mark Schervish

In this paper we study a continuous time equilibrium model of limit order book (LOB) in which the liquidity dynamics follows a non-local, reflected mean-field stochastic differential equation (SDE) with evolving intensity. Generalizing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Jin Ma , Eunjung Noh

We develop a new market-making model, from the ground up, which is tailored towards high-frequency trading under a limit order book (LOB), based on the well-known classification of order types in market microstructure. Our flexible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-31 Baron Law , Frederi Viens

This paper studies the fill probabilities of limit orders placed at different price levels in a limit order book. These probabilities play a central role in execution optimization, as limit orders are not guaranteed to be executed and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-09 Felix Lokin , Fenghui Yu

We consider a framework for solving optimal liquidation problems in limit order books. In particular, order arrivals are modeled as a point process whose intensity depends on the liquidation price. We set up a stochastic control problem in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Michael Ludkovski

We propose a simple stochastic model for the dynamics of a limit order book, extending the recent work of Cont and de Larrard (2013), where the price dynamics are endogenous, resulting from market transactions. We also show that the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-24 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas , Robert J. Elliott , Bruno Rémillard , Anatoliy V. Swishchuk

We study the analytical properties of a one-side order book model in which the flows of limit and market orders are Poisson processes and the distribution of lifetimes of cancelled orders is exponential. Although simplistic, the model…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ioane Muni Toke

A micro-scale model is proposed for the evolution of the limit order book. Within this model, the flows of orders (claims) are described by doubly stochastic Poisson processes taking account of the stochastic character of intensities of bid…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Chertok , A. Yu. Korchagin , A. I. Zeifman

This paper considers a Markovian model of a limit order book where time-dependent rates are allowed. With the objective of understanding the mechanisms through which a microscopic model of an orderbook can converge to more general diffusion…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-03 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas

We propose a framework for studying optimal market making policies in a limit order book (LOB). The bid-ask spread of the LOB is modelled by a Markov chain with finite values, multiple of the tick size, and subordinated by the Poisson…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-29 Fabien Guilbaud , Huyen Pham

We propose a microscopic model to describe the dynamics of the fundamental events in the limit order book (LOB): order arrivals and cancellations. It is based on an operator algebra for individual orders and describes their effect on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-06 Johannes Bleher , Michael Bleher , Thomas Dimpfl

The order flow in high-frequency financial markets has been of particular research interest in recent years, as it provides insights into trading and order execution strategies and leads to better understanding of the supply-demand…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-26 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Abel Rodriguez

With the fragmentation of electronic markets, exchanges are now competing in order to attract trading activity on their platform. Consequently, they developed several regulatory tools to control liquidity provision / consumption on their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Bastien Baldacci , Philippe Bergault