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We study statistical aspects of state-dependent Hawkes processes, which are an extension of Hawkes processes where a self- and cross-exciting counting process and a state process are fully coupled, interacting with each other. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-17 Maxime Morariu-Patrichi , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this work we introduce two variants of multivariate Hawkes models with an explicit dependency on various queue sizes aimed at modeling the stochastic time evolution of a limit order book. The models we propose thus integrate the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-28 Peng Wu , Marcello Rambaldi , Jean-François Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry

We study the dynamics of the limit order book of liquid stocks after experiencing large intra-day price changes. In the data we find large variations in several microscopical measures, e.g., the volatility the bid-ask spread, the bid-ask…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-26 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz , J. Doyne Farmer

We present a reproducible research framework for market microstructure combining a deterministic C++ limit order book (LOB) simulator with stochastic order flow generated by multivariate marked Hawkes processes. The paper derives full…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Sohaib El Karmi

In this paper, we propose an event-driven Limit Order Book (LOB) model that captures twelve of the most observed LOB events in exchange-based financial markets. To model these events, we propose using the state-of-the-art Neural Hawkes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Luca Lalor , Anatoliy Swishchuk

It has been suggested that marked point processes might be good candidates for the modelling of financial high-frequency data. A special class of point processes, Hawkes processes, has been the subject of various investigations in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 Ioane Muni Toke

We investigate the behavior of limit order books on the meso-scale motivated by order execution scheduling algorithms. To do so we carry out empirical analysis of the order flows from market and limit order submissions, aggregated from…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-10 Kyle Bechler , Michael Ludkovski

We propose and study a simple stochastic model for the dynamics of a limit order book, in which arrivals of market order, limit orders and order cancellations are described in terms of a Markovian queueing system. Through its analytical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Rama Cont , Adrien De Larrard

In this paper, we study various new Hawkes processes, namely, so-called general compound and regime-switching general compound Hawkes processes to model the price processes in the limit order books. We prove Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-29 Anatoliy Swishchuk

We analyze a tractable model of a limit order book on short time scales, where the dynamics are driven by stochastic fluctuations between supply and demand. We establish the existence of a limiting distribution for the highest bid, and for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Frank Kelly , Elena Yudovina

We present a general framework for modelling the dynamics of limit order books, built on the combination of two modelling ingredients: the order flow, modelled as a general spatial point process, and market clearing, modelled via a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-03 Rama Cont , Pierre Degond , Lifan Xuan

We propose a new model for the level I of a Limit Order Book (LOB), which incorporates the information about the standing orders at the opposite side of the book after each price change and the arrivals of new orders within the spread. Our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas , José E. Figueroa-López

This article presents a Hawkes process model with Markovian baseline intensities for high-frequency order book data modeling. We classify intraday order book trading events into a range of categories based on their order types and the price…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Philip Protter , Qianfan Wu , Shihao Yang

We propose a microstructural model for the order flow in financial markets that distinguishes between {\it core orders} and {\it reaction flow}, both modeled as Hawkes processes. This model has a natural scaling limit that reconciles a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Youssef Ouazzani Chahdi , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

Empirical data reveals that the liquidity flow into the order book (depositions, cancellations andmarket orders) is influenced by past price changes. In particular, we show that liquidity tends todecrease with the amplitude of past…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-24 Antoine Fosset , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Michael Benzaquen

In this paper, we establish a fluid limit for a two--sided Markov order book model. Our main result states that in a certain asymptotic regime, a pair of measure-valued processes representing the "sell-side shape" and "buy-side shape" of an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-25 Xuefeng Gao , S. J. Deng

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

We study optimal liquidation strategies under partial information for a single asset within a finite time horizon. We propose a model tailored for high-frequency trading, capturing price formation driven solely by order flow through…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-08 Etienne Chevalier , Yadh Hafsi , Vathana Ly Vath

This work's purpose is to understand the dynamics of limit order books in order-driven markets. We try to illustrate a dynamical trading mechanism attached to the microstructure of limit order markets. We capture the iterative nature of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-13 Shilei Wang

We derive a continuous time model for the joint evolution of the mid price and the bid-ask spread from a multiscale analysis of the whole limit order book (LOB) dynamics. We model the LOB as a multiclass queueing system and perform our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen