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This article investigates the use of Machine Learning and Deep Learning models in multivariate time series analysis within financial markets. It compares small and big data approaches, focusing on their distinct challenges and the benefits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Grégory Bournassenko

We propose an error-correcting model for the microprice, a high-frequency estimator of future prices given higher order information of imbalances in the orderbook. The model takes into account a current microprice estimate given the spread…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Christian D. Blakely

We investigate a market with a normal-speed informed trader (IT) who may employ mixed strategy and multiple anticipatory high-frequency traders (HFTs) who are under different inventory pressures, in a three-period Kyle's model. The pure-…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-14 Ziyi Xu , Xue Cheng

Recently, deep learning in stock prediction has become an important branch. Image-based methods show potential by capturing complex visual patterns and spatial correlations, offering advantages in interpretability over time series models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Zhiyuan Pei , Jianqi Yan , Jin Yan , Bailing Yang , Ziyuan Li , Lin Zhang , Xin Liu , Yang Zhang

In the complex landscape of traditional futures trading, where vast data and variables like real-time Limit Order Books (LOB) complicate price predictions, we introduce the FutureQuant Transformer model, leveraging attention mechanisms to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-12 Wenhao Guo , Yuda Wang , Zeqiao Huang , Changjiang Zhang , Shumin ma

The CTR (Click-Through Rate) prediction plays a central role in the domain of computational advertising and recommender systems. There exists several kinds of methods proposed in this field, such as Logistic Regression (LR), Factorization…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Shu Wu , Feng Yu , Xueli Yu , Qiang Liu , Liang Wang , Tieniu Tan , Jie Shao , Fan Huang

The widespread use of multisensor technology and the emergence of big datasets have created the need to develop tools to reduce, approximate, and classify large and multimodal data such as higher-order tensors. While early approaches…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Alp Ozdemir , Ali Zare , Mark A. Iwen , Selin Aviyente

This study presents an autonomous experimental machine learning protocol for high-frequency trading (HFT) stock price forecasting that involves a dual competitive feature importance mechanism and clustering via shallow neural network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Adamantios Ntakaris , Gbenga Ibikunle

We propose a convolution-FFT method for pricing European options under the Heston model that leverages a continuously differentiable representation of the joint characteristic function. Unlike existing Fourier-based methods that rely on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-08 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman

The identification of nonlinear dynamics from observations is essential for the alignment of the theoretical ideas and experimental data. The last, in turn, is often corrupted by the side effects and noise of different natures, so…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Anna Shalova , Ivan Oseledets

Tensor regression has shown to be advantageous in learning tasks with multi-directional relatedness. Given massive multiway data, traditional methods are often too slow to operate on or suffer from memory bottleneck. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Rose Yu , Yan Liu

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Multitask learning (MTL) can utilize the relatedness between multiple tasks for performance improvement. The advent of multimodal data allows tasks to be referenced by multiple indices. High-order tensors are capable of providing efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Jiani Liu , Qinghua Tao , Ce Zhu , Yipeng Liu , Johan A. K. Suykens

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Large tensor (multi-dimensional array) data are now routinely collected in a wide range of applications, due to modern data collection capabilities. Often such observations are taken over time, forming tensor time series. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Rong Chen , Dan Yang , Cun-hui Zhang

We present a framework for hedging a portfolio of derivatives in the presence of market frictions such as transaction costs, market impact, liquidity constraints or risk limits using modern deep reinforcement machine learning methods. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Hans Bühler , Lukas Gonon , Josef Teichmann , Ben Wood

This work studies the problem of high-dimensional data (referred to as tensors) completion from partially observed samplings. We consider that a tensor is a superposition of multiple low-rank components. In particular, each component can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Chang Nie , Huan Wang , Zhihui Lai

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Generative models have gained significant attention in multivariate time series forecasting (MTS), particularly due to their ability to generate high-fidelity samples. Forecasting the probability distribution of multivariate time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Shibo Feng , Peilin Zhao , Liu Liu , Pengcheng Wu , Zhiqi Shen