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The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

The research paper empirically investigates several machine learning algorithms to forecast stock prices depending on insider trading information. Insider trading offers special insights into market sentiment, pointing to upcoming changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Amitabh Chakravorty , Nelly Elsayed

Tensor neural networks (TNNs) have demonstrated their superiority in solving high-dimensional problems. However, similar to conventional neural networks, TNNs are also influenced by the Frequency Principle, which limits their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Jizu Huang , Yue Qiu , Rukang You

Lead recommendations for financial products such as funds or ETF is potentially challenging in investment space due to changing market scenarios, and difficulty in capturing financial holder's mindset and their philosophy. Current methods…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-20 Rachna Saxena , Abhijeet Kumar , Mridul Mishra

This research presents a novel approach to predicting option movements by analyzing residual transactions, which are trades that deviate from standard hedging activities. Unlike traditional methods that primarily focus on open interest and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Carl von Havighorst , Vincil Bishop

Modern evolvements of the technologies have been leading to a profound influence on the financial market. The introduction of constituents like Exchange-Traded Funds, and the wide-use of advanced technologies such as algorithmic trading,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-20 Liao Zhu

Most currently used tensor regression models for high-dimensional data are based on Tucker decomposition, which has good properties but loses its efficiency in compressing tensors very quickly as the order of tensors increases, say greater…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Yuefeng Si , Yingying Zhang , Yuxi Cai , Chunling Liu , Guodong Li

We focus on the problem of market making in high-frequency trading. Market making is a critical function in financial markets that involves providing liquidity by buying and selling assets. However, the increasing complexity of financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-03 Jiafa He , Cong Zheng , Can Yang

Financial forecasting has been an important and active area of machine learning research because of the challenges it presents and the potential rewards that even minor improvements in prediction accuracy or forecasting may entail.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Linyi Yang , Jiazheng Li , Ruihai Dong , Yue Zhang , Barry Smyth

In this paper, we conduct a systematic large-scale analysis of order book-driven predictability in high-frequency returns by leveraging deep learning techniques. First, we introduce a new and robust representation of the order book, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko Pakkanen , Almut Veraart

Machine learning has been used in all kinds of fields. In this article, we introduce how machine learning can be applied into time series problem. Especially, we use the airline ticket prediction problem as our specific problem. Airline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Jun Lu

Financial time-series classification (FTC) is extremely valuable for investment management. In past decades, it draws a lot of attention from a wide extent of research areas, especially Artificial Intelligence (AI). Existing researches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Liu Guang , Wang Xiaojie , Li Ruifan

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

In this paper, we explore the role of tensor algebra in balanced truncation (BT) based model reduction/identification for high-dimensional multilinear/linear time invariant systems. In particular, we employ tensor train decomposition (TTD),…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-28 Can Chen , Amit Surana , Anthony Bloch , Indika Rajapakse

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

In the era of big data, there is an increasing demand for new methods for analyzing and forecasting 2-dimensional data. The current research aims to accomplish these goals through the combination of time-series modeling and multilinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Jackson Cates , Randy C. Hoover , Kyle Caudle , Cagri Ozdemir , Karen Braman , David Machette

Tabular datasets are ubiquitous in data science applications. Given their importance, it seems natural to apply state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms in order to fully unlock their potential. Here we propose neural network models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Inkit Padhi , Yair Schiff , Igor Melnyk , Mattia Rigotti , Youssef Mroueh , Pierre Dognin , Jerret Ross , Ravi Nair , Erik Altman

This paper studies the prediction task of tensor-on-tensor regression in which both covariates and responses are multi-dimensional arrays (a.k.a., tensors) across time with arbitrary tensor order and data dimension. Existing methods either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-23 Guanhao Zhou , Yuefeng Han , Xiufan Yu

We propose and experimentally demonstrate an innovative stock index prediction method using a weighted optical reservoir computing system. We construct fundamental market data combined with macroeconomic data and technical indicators to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Fang Wang , Ting Bu , Yuping Huang