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In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving an uncertain stochastic Markovian control problem in discrete time. We call the proposed methodology the adaptive robust control. We demonstrate that the uncertain control problem under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-08 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Tao Chen , Igor Cialenco , Areski Cousin , Monique Jeanblanc

In this paper, we develop a unified framework for studying constrained robust optimal control problems with adjustable uncertainty sets. In contrast to standard constrained robust optimal control problems with known uncertainty sets, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-09 Xiaojing Zhang , Maryam Kamgarpour , Angelos Georghiou , Paul Goulart , John Lygeros

Vector-borne diseases arise from the coupled dynamics of human mobility and mosquito ecology, producing outbreaks shaped by both spatial distributions and temporal patterns of movement. Here we develop a coarse-grained hub--leaf reduction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-29 Bibandhan Poudyal , Gourab Ghoshal

Dengue virus transmission models commonly assume an exponential distribution for the mosquito extrinsic incubation period (EIP), potentially oversimplifying biological variability. We developed a stochastic mechanistic dengue transmission…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-29 Léa Loisel , Sandie Arnoux , Gaël Beaunée , Pauline Ezanno

Dengue is a vector-borne disease transmitted to humans by vectors of genus Aedes and is a global threat with health, social, and economic impact in many of the tropical countries including Sri Lanka. The virus transmission is significantly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-22 Piumi Chathurangika , Sanjeewa Perera , Kushani De Silva

We considered a model for an infectious disease outbreak, when the depletion of susceptible individuals is negligible, and assumed that individuals adapt their behavior according to the information they receive about new cases. In line with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-27 Alessia andò , Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio , Jianhong Wu

Effective intervention strategies for epidemics rely on the identification of their origin and on the robustness of the predictions made by network disease models. We introduce a Bayesian uncertainty quantification framework to infer model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-02 Karen Larson , Clark Bowman , Zhizhong Chen , Panagiotis Hadjidoukas , Costas Papadimitriou , Petros Koumoutsakos , Anastasios Matzavinos

Classical stochastic control assumes perfect knowledge of the uncertainty affecting the plant. In practice, however, such information is often incomplete. To address this limitation, we consider a distributionally robust control (DRC)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-06 Riccardo Cescon , Andrea Martin , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Balancing the societal costs of non-pharmaceutical interventions with epidemic suppression requires adaptive feedback control. Rather than relying on state-dependent operational caps, we formulate an infinite-horizon optimal control problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Mahtab Talaei , Alex Olshevsky , Laura F. White , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) for nonlinear systems is a problem that poses significant challenges as highlighted by the diversity of approaches proposed in the last decades. Often compromises with respect to computational load,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-21 Daniel D. Leister , Justin P. Koeln

In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-12 Nuno Crokidakis , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

The use of available disturbance predictions within a nominal model predictive control formulation is studied. The main challenge that arises is the loss of recursive feasibility and stability guarantees when a persistent disturbance is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Pablo R Baldivieso-Monasterios , Paul A. Trodden

Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro

Under a regularity assumption we prove that reachability in fixed time for nonlinear control systems is robust under control sampling.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Loïc Bourdin , Emmanuel Trélat

The transmission of vector infectious diseases, which produces complex spatiotemporal patterns, is analyzed by a periodically forced two-dimensional cellular automata model. The system, which comprises three population levels, is introduced…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2008-10-03 L. B. L. Santos , M. C. Costa , S. T. R. Pinho , R. F. S. Andrade , F. R. Barreto , M. G. Teixeira , M. L. Barreto

Mobile robots are ubiquitous. Such vehicles benefit from well-designed and calibrated control algorithms ensuring their task execution under precise uncertainty bounds. Yet, in tasks involving humans in the loop, such as elderly or mobility…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Cristian Axenie , Matteo Saveriano

The wide adoption of wireless devices in the Internet of Things requires controllers that are able to operate with limited resources, such as battery life. Operating these devices robustly in an uncertain environment, while managing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-03 Yingzhao Lian , Yuning Jiang , Naomi Stricker , Lothar Thiele , Colin N. Jones

This work proposes a novel robust model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for linear systems affected by dynamic model uncertainty and exogenous disturbances. The uncertainty is modeled using a linear fractional perturbation structure with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-10 Anilkumar Parsi , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

Toward scalable quantum computing, the control of quantum systems needs to be robust against both coherent errors induced by parametric uncertainties and incoherent errors induced by environmental decoherence. This poses significant…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-11 Yidian Fan , Re-Bing Wu

Robust controllers ensure stability in feedback loops designed under uncertainty but at the cost of performance. Model uncertainty in time-invariant systems can be reduced by recently proposed learning-based methods, which improve the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-18 Alexander von Rohr , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe