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The problem of sequential anomaly detection is considered, where multiple data sources are monitored in real time and the goal is to identify the "anomalous" ones among them, when it is not possible to sample all sources at all times. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

The problem of sequential anomaly detection and identification is considered, where multiple data sources are simultaneously monitored and the goal is to identify in real time those, if any, that exhibit ``anomalous" statistical behavior.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

The widespread use of machine learning algorithms calls for automatic change detection algorithms to monitor their behavior over time. As a machine learning algorithm learns from a continuous, possibly evolving, stream of data, it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-29 Lang Liu , Joseph Salmon , Zaid Harchaoui

This paper proposes a novel methodology for the online detection of changepoints in the factor structure of large matrix time series. Our approach is based on the well-known fact that, in the presence of a changepoint, a factor model can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-28 Yong He , Xin-bing Kong , Lorenzo Trapani , Long Yu

We propose a new nonparametric procedure for the detection and estimation of multiple structural breaks in the autocovariance function of a multivariate (second- order) piecewise stationary process, which also identifies the components of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Philip Preuß , Ruprecht Puchstein , Holger Dette

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

A one-dimensional quantum oscillator is monitored by taking repeated position measurements. As a first con- tribution, it is shown that, under a quantum nondemolition measurement scheme applied to a system initially at the ground state, (i)…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-11-13 Vincenzo Matta , Vincenzo Pierro

This paper deals with analyzing structural breaks in the covariance operator of sequentially observed functional data. For this purpose, procedures are developed to segment an observed stretch of curves into periods for which second-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-11 Alexander Aue , Gregory Rice , Ozan Sönmez

When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

The problem of testing changes in covariance has received increasing attention in recent years, especially in the context of high-dimensional testing. A number of approaches have been proposed, all limited to the two-sample problem and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-06 Yi-Hui Zhou

We develop monitoring procedures for cointegrating regressions, testing the null of no breaks against the alternatives that there is either a change in the slope, or a change to non-cointegration. After observing the regression for a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-03-30 Lorenzo Trapani , Emily Whitehouse

Determining the number of common factors is an important and practical topic in high dimensional factor models. The existing literatures are mainly based on the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix. Due to the incomparability of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 Jianqing Fan , Jianhua Guo , Shurong Zheng

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

This paper provides some useful tests for fitting a parametric single-index regression model when covariates are measured with error and validation data is available. We propose two tests whose consistency rates do not depend on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 Hira L. Koul , Chuanlong Xie , Lixing Zhu

Change point analysis has become an important research topic in many fields of applications. Several research work has been carried out to detect changes and its locations in time series data. In this paper, a nonparametric method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning

Estimation of covariance matrices or their inverses plays a central role in many statistical methods. For these methods to work reliably, estimated matrices must not only be invertible but also well-conditioned. In this paper we present an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

Forecasting risk (as measured by quantiles) and systemic risk (as measured by Adrian and Brunnermeiers's (2016) CoVaR) is important in economics and finance. However, past research has shown that predictive relationships may be unstable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Yannick Hoga

Factor analysis is over a century old, but it is still problematic to choose the number of factors for a given data set. The scree test is popular but subjective. The best performing objective methods are recommended on the basis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-12 A. B. Owen , J. Wang

Large-scale multiple testing under static factor models is widely used to detect sparse signals in high-dimensional data. However, static factor models are arguably too stringent because they ignore serial correlation, which seriously…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Xinxin Yang , Lilun Du

We study the problems of sequential nonparametric two-sample and independence testing. Sequential tests process data online and allow using observed data to decide whether to stop and reject the null hypothesis or to collect more data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-21 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas