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The problem of prediction in functional linear regression is conventionally addressed by reducing dimension via the standard principal component basis. In this paper we show that an alternative basis chosen through weighted least-squares,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-20 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Tatiyana V. Apanasovich

Consider the detection of a sparse change in high-dimensional time-series. We introduce Sparsity Likelihood-based (SL-based) score and the change-points detection procedure in multivariate normal model with general covariance structure.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Jingyan Huang

In this paper, we present a change point detection method for detecting change points in multivariate nonstationary wind speed time series. The change point method identifies changes in the covariance structure and decomposes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar , Raanju R. Sundararajan

There is increasing interest in detecting collective anomalies: potentially short periods of time where the features of data change before reverting back to normal behaviour. We propose a new method for detecting a collective anomaly in VAR…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

For many real data, long term observation consists of different processes that coexist or occur one after the other. Those processes very often exhibit different statistical properties and thus before the further analysis the observed data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Kucharczyk Daniel. Wyłomańska Agnieszka , Zimroz Radosław

We investigate a robust penalized logistic regression algorithm based on a minimum distance criterion. Influential outliers are often associated with the explosion of parameter vector estimates, but in the context of standard logistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-21 Eric C. Chi , David W. Scott

This paper investigates the detection and estimation of a single change in high-dimensional linear models. We derive minimax lower bounds for the detection boundary and the estimation rate, which uncover a phase transition governed by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Haeran Cho , Housen Li

We present an efficient alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) algorithm for segmenting a multivariate non-stationary time series with structural breaks into stationary regions. We draw from recent work where the series is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models have numerous applications in fields such as econometrics, biology, climatology, among others. While prior research has mainly focused on linear VAR models, these approaches can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Yuefeng Han , Likai Chen , Wei Biao Wu

We consider the problem of estimating a time-varying sparse precision matrix, which is assumed to evolve in a piece-wise constant manner. Building upon the Group Fused LASSO and LASSO penalty functions, we estimate both the network…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Ying Lin , Benjamin Poignard , Ting Kei Pong , Akiko Takeda

Changepoint detection identifies times when the generative process of a time series changes, with applications in healthcare, cybersecurity, and finance. In multivariate settings, changes in cross-variable and temporal dependence are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Victor K. Khamesi , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall M. Adams , Dean A. Bodenham

Inferring network structures remains an interesting question for its importance on the understanding and controlling collective dynamics of complex systems. The existing shrinking methods such as Lasso-type estimation can not suitably…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Lei Shi , Jie Hu , Huaiyu Tan , Libin Jin , Wei Zhong , Chen Shen

This paper addresses the problem of localizing change points in high-dimensional linear regression models with piecewise constant regression coefficients. We develop a dynamic programming approach to estimate the locations of the change…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-21 Alessandro Rinaldo , Daren Wang , Qin Wen , Rebecca Willett , Yi Yu

A simultaneous change-point detection and estimation in a piece-wise constant model is a common task in modern statistics. If, in addition, the whole estimation can be performed automatically, in just one single step without going through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matúš Maciak

Many recent developments in the high-dimensional statistical time series literature have centered around time-dependent applications that can be adapted to regularized least squares. Of particular interest is the lasso, which both serves to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 William B. Nicholson , Xiaohan Yan

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and constant coefficient identification in high-dimensional varying coefficient models based on B-spline basis expansion. Both objectives can be considered as some type of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-16 Heng Lian

This paper considers the problem of estimating a change point in the covariance matrix in a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is substantially larger than the sample size. A two-stage approach is proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-31 H. Dette , G. M. Pan , Q. Yang

As a special infinite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model can capture much richer temporal patterns than the widely used finite-order VAR model. However, its practicality has long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Yao Zheng

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau
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