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The classical vector autoregressive model is a fundamental tool for multivariate time series analysis. However, it involves too many parameters when the number of time series and lag order are even moderately large. This paper proposes to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Di Wang , Yao Zheng , Heng Lian , Guodong Li

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

While considerable advances have been made in estimating high-dimensional structured models from independent data using Lasso-type models, limited progress has been made for settings when the samples are dependent. We consider estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

How best to model structurally heterogeneous processes is a foundational question in the social, health and behavioral sciences. Recently, Fisher et al., (2022) introduced the multi-VAR approach for simultaneously estimating…

The problem of detecting change points in the parameters of a linear regression model with errors and covariates exhibiting heteroscedasticity is considered. Asymptotic results for weighted functionals of the cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Lajos Horvath , Gregory Rice , Yuqian Zhao

Change-point detection and locally stationary time series modeling are two major approaches for the analysis of non-stationary data. The former aims to identify stationary phases by detecting abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Wai Leong Ng , Xinyi Tang , Mun Lau Cheung , Jiacheng Gao , Chun Yip Yau , Holger Dette

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

In this paper we propose a class of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) characterized by structural breaks (SVAR-WB). Together with standard restrictions on the parameters and on functions of them, we also consider constraints across…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

We develop a constructive approach to estimating sparse, high-dimensional linear regression models. The approach is a computational algorithm motivated from the KKT conditions for the $\ell_0$-penalized least squares solutions. It generates…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-19 Jian Huang , Yuling Jiao , Yanyan Liu , Xiliang Lu

We propose a computationally and statistically efficient procedure for segmenting univariate data under piecewise linearity. The proposed moving sum (MOSUM) methodology detects multiple change points where the underlying signal undergoes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Joonpyo Kim , Hee-Seok Oh , Haeran Cho

We develop a projected least squares estimator for the change point parameter in a high dimensional time series model with a potential change point. Importantly we work under the setup where the jump size may be near the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-19 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

This paper aims to decompose a large dimensional vector autoregessive (VAR) model into two components, the first one being generated by a small-scale VAR and the second one being a white noise sequence. Hence, a reduced number of common…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-22 Gianluca Cubadda , Alain Hecq

The tuning parameter selection strategy for penalized estimation is crucial to identify a model that is both interpretable and predictive. However, popular strategies (e.g., minimizing average squared prediction error via cross-validation)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Julia Holter , Jonathan Stallrich

Network modeling of high-dimensional time series data is a key learning task due to its widespread use in a number of application areas, including macroeconomics, finance and neuroscience. While the problem of sparse modeling based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Sumanta Basu , Xianqi Li , George Michailidis

In this paper, we study the model selection and structure specification for the generalised semi-varying coefficient models (GSVCMs), where the number of potential covariates is allowed to be larger than the sample size. We first propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Degui Li , Yuan Ke , Wenyang Zhang

For factor model, the involved covariance matrix often has no row sparse structure because the common factors may lead some variables to strongly associate with many others. Under the ultra-high dimensional paradigm, this feature causes…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-22 Junlong Zhao , Hongyu Zhao , Lixing Zhu

This paper discusses change detection in SAR time-series. Firstly, several statistical properties of the coefficient of variation highlight its pertinence for change detection. Then several criteria are proposed. The coefficient of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-19 Elise Colin Koeniguer , Jean-Marie Nicolas

Beta regression is commonly employed when the outcome variable is a proportion. Since its conception, the approach has been widely used in applications spanning various scientific fields. A series of extensions have been proposed over time,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Niloofar Ramezani , Martin Slawski

The objective of transfer learning is to enhance estimation and inference in a target data by leveraging knowledge gained from additional sources. Recent studies have explored transfer learning for independent observations in complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-23 Mingliang Ma Abolfazl Safikhani